Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29608646›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2018

Quantification of Human Microbiome Stability Over 6 Months: Implications for Epidemiologic Studies.

Rashmi Sinha, James J Goedert, Emily Vogtmann, Xing Hua, Carolina Porras, Richard Hayes, Mahboobeh Safaeian, Guoqin Yu, Joshua Sampson, Jiyoung Ahn and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Prospective and Cross-sectional Associations of the Rectal Tissue Microbiome with Colorectal Adenoma Recurrence.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023
    Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Sample Size Estimations Based on Human Microbiome Temporal Stability Over 6 Months: A Shallow Shotgun Metagenome Sequencing Analysis.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Stability of the Fecal and Oral Microbiome over 2 Years at -80°C for Multiple Collection Methods.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Frontiers in microbiology · 2021
    Article
  12. Functional diversity of microbial ecologies estimated from ancient human coprolites and dental calculus.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020
    Article
  13. Article
  14. THREE AUTHORS REPLY.American journal of epidemiology · 2019
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Rashmi SinhaDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
James J GoedertDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Emily VogtmannDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Xing HuaDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Carolina PorrasCosta Rican Agency for Biomedical Research-INCIENSA Foundation, San José, Costa Rica.
Richard HayesDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Population Health, School of Medicine, New York University, New York, New York.
Mahboobeh SafaeianDepartment of Medical and Scientific Affairs, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc., Pleasanton, California.
Guoqin YuDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Joshua SampsonDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Jiyoung AhnDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Population Health, School of Medicine, New York University, New York, New York.
Jianxin ShiDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.

Funding

Lower Gastrointestinal Cancer StudiesZIACP010198 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SINHA, RASHMI · 2009 to 2025
$6.6M
Prospective Study of Human Oral Microbiome and Pancreatic Cancer RiskR01CA164964 · NCI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI AHN, JIYOUNG · 2014 to 2017
$2.2M
Gut Microbiome Profiles and Risk of Colorectal CancerR03CA159414 · NCI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI AHN, JIYOUNG, YANG, LIYING · 2012 to 2014
$219k
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA164964NCI NIH HHS R03 CA159414
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Temporal variation in microbiome measurements can reduce statistical power in research studies. Quantification of this variation is essential for designing studies of chronic disease. We analyzed 16S ribosomal RNA profiles in paired biological specimens separated by 6 months from 3 studies conducted during 1985-2013 (a National Cancer Institute colorectal cancer study, a Costa Rica study, and the Human Microbiome Project). We evaluated temporal stability by calculating intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). Sample sizes needed in order to detect microbiome differences between equal numbers of cases and controls for a nested case-control design were calculated on the basis of estimated ICCs. Across body sites, 12 phylum-level ICCs were greater than 0.5. Similarly, 11 alpha-diversity ICCs were greater than 0.5. Fecal beta-diversity estimates had ICCs over 0.5. For a single collection with most microbiome metrics, detecting an odds ratio of 2.0 would require 300-500 cases when matching 1 case to 1 control at P = 0.05. Use of 2 or 3 sequential specimens reduces the number of required subjects by 40%-50% for low-ICC metrics. Relative abundances of major phyla and alpha-diversity metrics have low temporal stability. Thus, detecting associations of moderate effect size with these metrics will require large sample sizes. Because beta diversity for feces is reasonably stable over time, smaller sample sizes can detect associations with community composition. Sequential prediagnostic specimens from thousands of prospectively ascertained cases are required to detect modest disease associations with particular microbiome metrics.

Indexed as

Gastrointestinal MicrobiomeFecesFemaleHumansMaleTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID29608646
PMCPMC5982812

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.