Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29603882›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2018

The cost-effectiveness and budgetary impact of a dolutegravir-based regimen as first-line treatment of HIV infection in India.

Amy Zheng, Nagalingeswaran Kumarasamy, Mingshu Huang, A David Paltiel, Kenneth H Mayer, Bharat B Rewari, Rochelle P Walensky, Kenneth A Freedberg

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Amy ZhengMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Nagalingeswaran KumarasamyY. R. Gaitonde Centre for AIDS Research and Education, Voluntary Health Services, Chennai, India.
Mingshu HuangMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
A David PaltielYale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Kenneth H MayerHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Bharat B RewariHIV/STI/Hepatitis Unit, Department of Communicable Diseases, World Health Organization Regional Office for South-East Asia, New Delhi, India.
Rochelle P WalenskyMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Kenneth A FreedbergMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

Optimizing HIV Care in Less Developed CountriesR01AI058736 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Kenneth Alan Freedberg, Emily Parker Hyle · 2004 to 2026
$21.5M
Novel Methods to Inform HIV/TB Clinical Trial DevelopmentR01AI093269 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI REDDY, KRISHNA P · 2011 to 2024
$6.8M
Optimizing HIV Care in Less Developed CountriesR37AI058736 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI FREEDBERG, KENNETH ALAN · 2018 to 2024
$6.6M
Novel Methods to Inform HIV/TB Clinical Trial DevelopmentR37AI093269 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI WALENSKY, ROCHELLE P. · 2015 to 2019
$3.8M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI058736NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI093269NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI093269World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDolutegravir (DTG)-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) is recommended for first-line HIV treatment in the US and Europe. Efavirenz (EFV)-based regimens remain the standard of care (SOC) in India. We examined the clinical and economic impact of DTG-based first-line ART in the setting of India's recent guidelines change to treating all patients with HIV infection regardless of CD4 count.

methodsWe used a microsimulation of HIV disease, the Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing AIDS Complications (CEPAC)-International model, to project outcomes in ART-naive patients under two strategies: (1) SOC: EFV/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)/lamivudine (3TC); and (2) DTG: DTG + TDF/3TC. Regimen-specific inputs, including virologic suppression at 48 weeks (SOC: 82% vs. DTG: 90%) and annual costs ($98 vs. $102), were informed by clinical trial data and other sources and varied widely in sensitivity analysis. We compared incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), measured in $/year of life saved (YLS), to India's per capita gross domestic product ($1600 in 2015). We compared the budget impact and HIV transmission effects of the two strategies for the estimated 444,000 and 916,000 patients likely to initiate ART in India over the next 2 and 5 years.

resultsCompared to SOC, DTG improved 5-year survival from 76.7% to 83.0%, increased life expectancy from 22.0 to 24.8 years (14.0 to 15.5 years, discounted), averted 13,000 transmitted HIV infections over 5 years, increased discounted lifetime care costs from $3040 to $3240, and resulted in a lifetime ICER of $130/YLS, less than 10% of India's per capita GDP in 2015. DTG maintained an ICER below 50% of India's per capita GDP as long as the annual three-drug regimen cost was ≤$180/year. Over a 2- or 5-year horizon, total undiscounted outlays for HIV-related care were virtually the same for both strategies.

conclusionsA generic DTG-based regimen is likely to be cost-effective and should be recommended for initial therapy of HIV infection in India.

Indexed as

AdultCost-Benefit AnalysisDolutegravirDrug CostsFemaleHeterocyclic Compounds, 3-RingHIV InfectionsHIV Integrase InhibitorsHumansMaleMiddle AgedOxazinesPiperazinesPyridonesDolutegravirHeterocyclic Compounds, 3-RingHIV Integrase InhibitorsOxazinesPiperazinesPyridonesARTcost-effectivenessdolutegravirHIVIndiamodelling

Identifiers

PMID29603882
PMCPMC5878415

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.