ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2018
The impact of social protection and poverty elimination on global tuberculosis incidence: a statistical modelling analysis of Sustainable Development Goal 1.
Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 87 papers.
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Who cites it
87 citing papers in PubMed.
- A Matter of Inclusion: A Cluster-Randomized Trial to Access the Effect of Food Vouchers Versus Traditional Treatment on Tuberculosis Outcomes in Brazil.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2022Trial
- One dollar incentive improves tuberculosis treatment outcomes in programmatic settings in rural Uganda.Scientific reports · 2021Trial
- Wealth redistribution policies to mitigate the impact of development assistance defunding: a retrospective evaluation and forecasting analysis up to 2030.Lancet (London, England) · 2026Article
- Why condition cash transfers? A multimethod pilot study evaluating the conditioning of cash transfers for tuberculosis treatment.BMC health services research · 2026Article
- Divergent Trajectories of Pediatric All-Form Tuberculosis and Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis from 1990 to 2021.Microorganisms · 2026Article
- Functional analysis of theMicrobiology spectrum · 2026Article
- Article
- Temporal trends and associations between domestic public health spending, donor funding and tuberculosis outcomes in Africa: a serial cross-sectional study (1990-2022).BMJ public health · 2026Article
- Characterizing tuberculosis diagnosis and the associations with economic instability and employment discrimination among women living with HIV across 11 countries in sub-Saharan Africa: a cross-sectional study.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2025Article
- Evaluation of social protection for people affected by tuberculosis: development of an indicator matrix for Brazil.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Evaluating the impact of two decades of USAID interventions and projecting the effects of defunding on mortality up to 2030: a retrospective impact evaluation and forecasting analysis.Lancet (London, England) · 2025Article
- The social determinants of tuberculosis: a case-control study characterising pathways to equitable intervention in Peru.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- Incidence of tuberculosis in the city of Cordoba and its relationship with areas in need of social transformation: a study from 2015 to 2021.Central European journal of public health · 2025Observational
- Enriching tuberculosis research by measuring poverty better: a perspective.BMC global and public health · 2025Review
- Effects of conditional cash transfers on tuberculosis incidence and mortality according to race, ethnicity and socioeconomic factors in the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort.Nature medicine · 2025Observational
- Impact of diagnosis-related group payment on medical expenditure and treatment efficiency on people with drug-resistant tuberculosis: a quasi-experimental study design.International journal for equity in health · 2025Article
- An intersectionality perspective on tuberculosis: social determinants affecting tuberculosis mortality rate in Ecuador.Frontiers in public health · 2025Observational
- Applying Multiple Analyses to Quantify Changes in the Global, Regional, and National Burden of Tuberculosis From 1990 to 2021 and the Forecast Until 2035.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2025Article
- Potential impact, costs, and benefits of population-wide screening interventions for tuberculosis in Viet Nam: A mathematical modelling study.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- Approaches and results of intersectoral actions for tuberculosis control in the world: A scoping review.PloS one · 2025Article
27 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe End TB Strategy and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are intimately linked by their common targets and approaches. SDG 1 aims to end extreme poverty and expand social protection coverage by 2030. Achievement of SDG 1 is likely to affect the tuberculosis epidemic through a range of pathways. We estimate the reduction in global tuberculosis incidence that could be obtained by reaching SDG 1.
methodsWe developed a conceptual framework linking key indicators of SDG 1 progress to tuberculosis incidence via well described risk factor pathways and populated it with data from the SDG data repository and the WHO tuberculosis database for 192 countries. Correlations and mediation analyses informed the strength of the association between the SDG 1 subtargets and tuberculosis incidence, resulting in a simplified framework for modelling. The simplified framework linked key indicators for SDG 1 directly to tuberculosis incidence. We applied an exponential decay model based on linear associations between SDG 1 indicators and tuberculosis incidence to estimate tuberculosis incidence in 2035.
findingsEnding extreme poverty resulted in a reduction in global incidence of tuberculosis of 33·4% (95% credible interval 15·5-44·5) by 2035 and expanding social protection coverage resulted in a reduction in incidence of 76·1% (45·2-89·9) by 2035; both pathways together resulted in a reduction in incidence of 84·3% (54·7-94·9).
interpretationFull achievement of SDG 1 could have a substantial effect on the global burden of tuberculosis. Cross-sectoral approaches that promote poverty reduction and social protection expansion will be crucial complements to health interventions, accelerating progress towards the End TB targets.
fundingWorld Health Organization.
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