Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29573622›Full record

ArticleThe International journal on drug policy2018

Ageing opioid users' increased risk of methadone-specific death in the UK.

Matthias Pierce, Tim Millar, J Roy Robertson, Sheila M Bird

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The International journal on drug policy, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Individuals 45 Years and Older in Opioid Agonist Treatment: A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
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  13. Functional evaluation of NKDrug and alcohol dependence · 2021
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  16. Observational
  17. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Matthias PierceCentre for Biostatistics, School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom.
Tim MillarCentre for Mental Health and Safety, School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom.
J Roy RobertsonUsher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH16 4UX, United Kingdom.
Sheila M BirdUsher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH16 4UX, United Kingdom; MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, School of Clinical Medicine, Institute for Public Health, Cambridge CB2 0SR, United Kingdom; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1XH, United Kingdom. Electronic address: sheila.bird@mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk.

Funding

Medical Research Council G1000021Medical Research Council MC_U105260794
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe first evidence that the hazard ratio (HR) for methadone-specific death rises more steeply with age-group than for all drug-related deaths (DRDs) came from Scotland's cohort of 33,000 methadone-prescription clients. We aim to examine, for England, whether illicit opioid users' risk of methadone-specific death increases with age; and to pool age-related HRs for methadone-specific deaths with those for Scotland's methadone-prescription clients.

methodsThe setting is all services in England that provide publicly-funded, structured treatment for illicit opioid users, the methodology linkage of the English National Drug Treatment Monitoring System and mortality database, and key measurements are DRDs, methadone-specific DRDs, or heroin-specific DRDs, by age-group and gender, with proportional hazards adjustment for substances used, injecting status and periods in/out of treatment.

resultsLinkage was achieved for 129,979 adults receiving prescribing treatment modalities for opioid dependence during April 2005 to March 2009 and followed-up for 378,009 person-years (pys). There were 1,266 DRDs: 271 methadone-specific (7 per 10,000 pys: irrespective of gender) and 473 heroin-specific (15 per 10,000 pys for males, 7 for females). Methadone-specific DRD-rate per 10,000 person-years was 3.5 (95% CI: 2.7-4.4) at 18-34 years, 8.9 (CI: 7.3-10.5) at 35-44 years and 18 (CI: 13.8-21.2) at 45+ years; heroin-specific DRD-rate was unchanged with age. Relative to 25-34 years, pooled HRs for UK clients' methadone-specific deaths were: 0.87 at <25 years (95% CI: 0.56-1.35); 2.14 at 35-44 years (95% CI: 1.76-2.60); 3.75 at 45+ years (95% CI: 2.99-4.70).

conclusionInternational testing and explanation are needed of UK's sharp age-related increase in the risk of methadone-specific death. Clients should be alerted that their risk of methadone-specific death increases as they age.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgingAnalgesics, OpioidDatabases, FactualFemaleHeroinHumansMaleMethadoneMiddle AgedOpioid-Related DisordersSex FactorsUnited KingdomYoung AdultAnalgesics, OpioidHeroinMethadoneAge-related hazard ratiosAge-relatednessDrug-related deathsGenderMethadone-specific deathsPoolingRisk behaviours

Identifiers

PMID29573622
PMCPMC6004035

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.