Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29570564›Full record

ArticleJournal of lower genital tract disease2018

Low Risk of Cervical Cancer/Precancer Among Most Women Under Surveillance Postcolposcopy.

Maria Demarco, Li C Cheung, Walter K Kinney, Nicolas Wentzensen, Thomas S Lorey, Barbara Fetterman, Nancy E Poitras, Brian Befano, Philip E Castle, Mark Schiffman

Open access · hybridAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of lower genital tract disease, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 30% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Maria DemarcoDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Li C CheungDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Walter K KinneyDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Nicolas WentzensenDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Thomas S LoreyDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Barbara FettermanDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Nancy E PoitrasDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Brian BefanoDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Philip E CastleDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Mark SchiffmanDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and GeneticsKaiser Permanente · USInformation Management Services · US

Funding

Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Natural History, Genomics and Risk AssessmentZIACP010206 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SCHIFFMAN, MARK · 2010 to 2025
$17.1M
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo inform impending postcolposcopy guidelines, this analysis examined the subsequent risk of CIN 3+ among women with a grade lower than CIN 2 (< CIN 2) colposcopy results, taking into account the referring results that brought them to colposcopy and cotest results postcolposcopy.

methodsWe analyzed 107,005 women from 25 to 65 years old, recommended for colposcopy at Kaiser Permanente Northern California. We estimated absolute risks of CIN 3+ among women: (1) recommended for colposcopy (precolposcopy), (2) following colposcopy and with histology results < CIN 2 (postcolposcopy), and (3) with cotest results 12 months after a < CIN 2 colposcopy (return cotest).

resultsAfter colposcopy showing < CIN 2 (n = 69,790; 87% of the women at colposcopy), the 1-year risk of CIN 3+ was 1.2%, compared with 6.3% at the time of colposcopy recommendation. Negative cotest results 1 year after colposcopy identified a large group (37.1%) of women whose risk of CIN 3+ (i.e., <0.2% at 3 years after postcolposcopy cotest) was comparable with women with normal cytology in the screening population. These risks are consistent with current guidelines recommending repeat cotesting 12 months after colposcopy < CIN 2 and a 3-year return for women with a negative postcolposcopy cotest.

conclusionsMost women are at low risk of subsequent CIN 3+ after a colposcopy showing < CIN 2, especially those who are human papillomavirus-negative postcolposcopy, consistent with current management guidelines for repeat testing intervals. Before the finalizing the upcoming guidelines, we will consider additional rounds of postcolposcopy cotesting.

Indexed as

AdultAgedCaliforniaColposcopyFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPapillomavirus InfectionsPractice Guidelines as TopicPrecancerous ConditionsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID29570564
PMCPMC5895141
OpenAlexW2792266744

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.