ArticleSouthern African journal of HIV medicine2017
Progress towards the 2020 targets for HIV diagnosis and antiretroviral treatment in South Africa.
Article in Southern African journal of HIV medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06133686 (Implementing Oral), which is not on this map. Cited by 152 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Implementing Oral (Event-driven and Daily) and Long-acting Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis in Mobile Men in Sub-Saharan Africa: a Phase 3b, Open-label, Hybrid Type 2 Implementation and Effectiveness Trial
Who cites it
152 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 188 citations in OpenAlex.
- Impact of male circumcision on risk of HIV infection in men in a changing epidemic context - systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2020Pooled it
- "Safe Places Like These are Rare": Feasibility of the Speaking Out and Allying Relationships (SOAR) Intervention for HIV-Positive Sexual Minority Men in Eastern Cape, South Africa.AIDS and behavior · 2026Trial
- Evaluation of the Tsima community mobilization intervention to improve engagement in HIV testing and care in South Africa: study protocol for a cluster randomized trial.Implementation science : IS · 2017Trial
- Trial
- Simple, illustrated medicines information improves ARV knowledge and patient self-efficacy in limited literacy South African HIV patients.AIDS care · 2014Trial
- Centralized molecular testing of community-collected tongue swabs for tuberculosis screening among household contacts: a cross-sectional diagnostic performance, yield, and implementation study.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026Article
- HIV/AIDS Mortality in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa, 2000-2023: Trends, Age-Sex Composition, and a Persistent Provincial Burden.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2026Article
- Motivations and Barriers to Sustained PrEP Use Among Men in Buffalo City Metro, South Africa: A Qualitative Study.AIDS and behavior · 2026Article
- Hidden in Success: Gendered Patterns of Suboptimal Care Engagement Among Tuberculosis Patients Who "Successfully" Completed Treatment in South Africa.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026Article
- A Stepped Care, Peer-Delivered Intervention to Improve Substance Use and HIV Medication Adherence in Primary Care in South Africa (ProjectJMIR research protocols · 2026Article
- Article
- Contemporary Disengagement From Antiretroviral Therapy in the Western Cape, South Africa: A Cross-Sectional Study.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2026Article
- In-home molecular testing of tongue swabs and sputum to inform household-level screening with diagnostic escalation strategies for tuberculosis contact investigation: a prospective cohort study in South Africa.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026Article
- Article
- Who is a mobile man 'at risk'? Masculinity, work-related mobility, and HIV-related risks in Uganda and South Africa.Journal of migration and health · 2026Article
- Article
- Hidden in Success: Gendered Patterns of Suboptimal Care Engagement Among TB Patients Who "Successfully" Completed Treatment in South Africa.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Study-to-Clinic Transition and Daily Oral PrEP Access Experiences Among AGYW in Eastern Cape, South Africa: Insights from the Community PrEP Study.AIDS and behavior · 2025Article
- Trajectories and predictors of HIV care retention among individuals receiving ART in rural South Africa: a group-based trajectory modelling analysis.Journal of global health · 2025Article
- Social isolation, social exclusion, and access to mental and tangible resources: mapping the gendered impact of tuberculosis-related stigma among men and women living with tuberculosis in Eastern Cape Province, South Africa.BMC global and public health · 2025Article
92 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe UNAIDS targets for 2020 are to achieve a 90% rate of diagnosis in HIV-positive individuals, to provide antiretroviral treatment (ART) to 90% of HIV-diagnosed individuals and to achieve virological suppression in 90% of ART patients.
objectivesTo assess South Africa's progress towards the 2020 targets and variations in performance by province.
methodsA mathematical model was fitted to HIV data for each of South Africa's provinces, and for the country as a whole. Numbers of HIV tests performed in each province were estimated from routine data over the 2002-2015 period, and numbers of patients receiving ART in each province were estimated by fitting models to reported public and private ART enrolment statistics.
resultsBy the middle of 2015, 85.5% (95% CI: 84.5% - 86.5%) of HIV-positive South African adults had been diagnosed, with little variation between provinces. However, only 56.9% (95% CI: 55.3% - 58.7%) of HIV-diagnosed adults were on ART, with this proportion varying between 50.8% in North West and 72.7% in Northern Cape. In addition, 78.4% of adults on ART were virally suppressed, with rates ranging from 69.7% in Limpopo to 85.9% in Western Cape. Overall, 3.39 million (95% CI: 3.26-3.52 million) South Africans were on ART by mid-2015, equivalent to 48.6% (95% CI: 46.0% - 51.2%) of the HIV-positive population. ART coverage varied between 43.0% in Gauteng and 63.0% in Northern Cape.
conclusionAlthough South Africa is well on its way to reaching the 90% HIV diagnosis target, most provinces face challenges in reaching the remaining two 90% targets.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.