ArticleClinical cardiology2018
Association between lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation and mortality in the oldest old.
Article in Clinical cardiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.
- Global Incidence of Cardiovascular Diseases Attributable to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Modelling Study Based on GBD 2021.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026Article
- [Nonagenarians on an emergency department for internal medicine and cardiology : Comparison of comorbidities, disease course and survival with younger patients].Zeitschrift fur Gerontologie und Geriatrie · 2025Article
- Assessment of Lifetime Risk for Cardiovascular Disease: Time to Move Forward.Current cardiology reviews · 2024Review
- Association between lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation and mortality in the oldest old.Clinical cardiology · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAge is the strongest predictor of atrial fibrillation (AF), yet little is known about AF incidence in the oldest old. HYPOTHESIS: AF incidence declines after age 90 years, and morbidity is compressed into a brief period at the end of life.
methodsIn this retrospective, longitudinal cohort study of patients (born 1905-1935), we examined cumulative lifetime incidence of AF and its impact on mortality. Data included records from 1 062 610 octogenarians, 317 161 nonagenarians, and 3572 centenarians. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate cumulative incidence of AF by age group, incidence rates were compared using log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate unadjusted hazard ratios. The primary outcome was AF incidence at age > 80 years; the secondary outcome was mortality.
resultsThe cumulative AF incidence rate was 5.0% in octogenarians, 5.4% in nonagenarians, and 2.3% in centenarians. Octogenarians and nonagenarians had a higher risk of AF incidence compared to centenarians (adjusted hazard ratio 8.74, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.31-12.04; and 2.98, 95% CI: 2.17-4.1, respectively). The lowest hazard ratio for mortality in patients with AF compared to those without was 2.3 (95% CI: 2.3-2.4) in patients who were on antiplatelet and anticoagulant medication and had a score of 0 on the Elixhauser comorbidity index score.
conclusionsAlthough AF incidence increased with age, being a centenarian was associated with reduced incidence and compression of morbidity. Patients with AF had a higher adjusted mortality rate. However, data suggest that a regimen of anticoagulants and antiplatelets may reduce risk of mortality in patients over 80 with an AF diagnosis.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.