SynthesisEpidemiologic reviews2018
Dynamic Models of Infectious Disease Transmission in Prisons and the General Population.
Synthesis in Epidemiologic reviews, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
37 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Transmission models of respiratory infections in carceral settings: A systematic review.Epidemics · 2025Pooled it
- Mechanistic Models of Influenza Transmission in Commercial Swine Populations: A Systematic Review.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Pooled it
- Mental and physical health morbidity among people in prisons: an umbrella review.The Lancet. Public health · 2024Pooled it
- Reconstructing infectious disease prevention mechanisms in carceral settings in transitional states: lessons from the Chinese experience.International journal for equity in health · 2026Article
- Association between vaccine uptake and SARS-CoV-2 infection among staff at a jail and prison in the USA.International journal of prison health · 2025Article
- Interventions for SARS-CoV-2 prevention among Jailed adults: A network-based modeling analysis.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Assessment of tuberculosis transmission probability in three Thai prisons based on five dynamic models.PloS one · 2024Article
- COVID-19 Burden in Adult Correctional or Detention Facilities and the Surrounding Communities, January 1, 2020-July 20, 2021.Journal of correctional health care : the official journal of the National Commission on Correctional Health Care · 2023Article
- Modelling COVID-19 pandemic control strategies in metropolitan and rural health districts in New South Wales, Australia.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- The state of cervical cancer screening in imprisoned women in Malawi: a case of Maula Prison.BMC women's health · 2023Article
- A Scoping Review of Mathematical Models Used to Investigate the Role of Dogs in Chagas Disease Transmission.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023Article
- Dynamics of Respiratory Infectious Diseases in Incarcerated and Free-Living Populations: A Simulation Modeling Study.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2023Article
- Planning and development of an antimicrobial stewardship program in penitentiary facilities: strategies to optimize therapeutic prescribing and reduce the incidence of antibiotic resistance.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Hepatitis B and human immunodeficiency virus infections within correctional facilities in Ghana.PloS one · 2023Article
- SARS-CoV-2 Mitigation Strategies, Testing, and Cases at 254 Jails in the US Southeast, October 2020 to May 2021.American journal of public health · 2022Article
- The impact of COVID-19 vaccination in prisons in England and Wales: a metapopulation model.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Scenario prediction of public health emergencies using infectious disease dynamics model and dynamic Bayes.Future generations computer systems : FGCS · 2022Article
- Article
- Time to start of tuberculosis treatment in penitentiary system of Kyrgyz Republic: A retrospective cohort study.PloS one · 2022Article
- Chronic Viral Hepatitis in the Italian Prison Setting: Prevalence, Outcomes, Literature Needs and Perspectives.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Incarcerated populations experience elevated burdens of infectious diseases, which are exacerbated by limited access to prevention measures. Dynamic models are used to assess the spread and control of diseases within correctional facilities and repercussions on the general population. Our systematic review of dynamic models of infectious diseases within correctional settings identified 34 studies published between 1996 and 2017. Of these, 23 focused on disease dynamics and intervention in prison without accounting for subsequent spread to the community. The main diseases modeled in these studies were human immunodeficiency virus (HIV; n = 14, 41%), tuberculosis (TB; n = 10, 29%), and hepatitis C virus (HCV; n = 7, 21%). Models were fitted to epidemiologic data in 14 studies; uncertainty and sensitivity analyses were conducted in 8, and validation of model projection against empirical data was done in 1 study. According to the models, prison-based screening and treatment may be highly effective strategies for reducing the burden of HIV, TB, HCV, and other sexually transmissible infections among prisoners and the general community. Decreasing incarceration rates were projected to reduce HIV and HCV infections among people who inject drugs and TB infections among all prisoners. Limitations of the modeling studies and opportunities for using dynamic models to develop quantitative evidence for informing prison infection control measures are discussed.
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