ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2018
Moving epidemic method (MEM) applied to virology data as a novel real time tool to predict peak in seasonal influenza healthcare utilisation. The Scottish experience of the 2017/18 season to date.
Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Global region-specific influenza early warning by establishing an epidemic intensity threshold system: a modeling study.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- H1N1pdm09 returns: a comparative study in Anhui, China.Microbiology spectrum · 2025Article
- How to assess the severity of bronchiolitis epidemics? Application of the Moving Epidemic Method in Nouvelle-Aquitaine, France from 2017 to 2023.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Application of the moving epidemic method for influenza surveillance in Kunming.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Real-Time Monitoring of Infectious Disease Outbreaks with a Combination of Google Trends Search Results and the Moving Epidemic Method: A Respiratory Syncytial Virus Case Study.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Article
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- Applying the Moving Epidemic Method to Establish the Influenza Epidemic Thresholds and Intensity Levels for Age-Specific Groups in Hubei Province, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
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- Do point-of-care tests (POCTs) offer a new paradigm for the management of patients with influenza?Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020Article
- The experience of point-of-care testing for influenza in Scotland in 2017/18 and 2018/19 - no gain without pain.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020Article
- Establishing seasonal and alert influenza thresholds in Morocco.BMC public health · 2020Article
- Grippenet: A New Tool for the Monitoring, Risk-Factor and Vaccination Coverage Analysis of Influenza-Like Illness in Switzerland.Vaccines · 2020Article
- Transmissibility of influenza during the 21st-century epidemics, Spain, influenza seasons 2001/02 to 2017/18.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020Article
- Assessment of two complementary influenza surveillance systems: sentinel primary care influenza-like illness versus severe hospitalized laboratory-confirmed influenza using the moving epidemic method.BMC public health · 2019Article
- Healthcare professionals' queries on oseltamivir and influenza in Finland 2011-2016-Can we detect influenza epidemics with specific online searches?Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2019Article
- Use of the moving epidemic method (MEM) to assess national surveillance data for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in the Netherlands, 2005 to 2017.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2019Article
- Developing influenza and respiratory syncytial virus activity thresholds for syndromic surveillance in England.Epidemiology and infection · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Scotland observed an unusual influenza A(H3N2)-dominated 2017/18 influenza season with healthcare services under significant pressure. We report the application of the moving epidemic method (MEM) to virology data as a tool to predict the influenza peak activity period and peak week of swab positivity in the current season. This novel MEM application has been successful locally and is believed to be of potential use to other countries for healthcare planning and building wider community resilience.
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