Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29559704›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Climate change effect on wheat phenology depends on cultivar change.

Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei, Stefan Siebert, Hubert Hüging, Frank Ewert

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Genome-Wide Identification and Characterization of theInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ehsan Eyshi RezaeiInstitute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation, University of Bonn, Katzenburgweg 5, D-53115, Bonn, Germany. ehsan.eyshi-rezaei@uni-goettingen.de.ORCID 0000-0003-2603-8034
Stefan SiebertInstitute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation, University of Bonn, Katzenburgweg 5, D-53115, Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9998-0672
Hubert HügingInstitute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation, University of Bonn, Katzenburgweg 5, D-53115, Bonn, Germany.
Frank EwertInstitute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation, University of Bonn, Katzenburgweg 5, D-53115, Bonn, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Changing crop phenology is considered an important bio-indicator of climate change, with the recent warming trend causing an advancement in crop phenology. Little is known about the contributions of changes in sowing dates and cultivars to long-term trends in crop phenology, particularly for winter crops such as winter wheat. Here, we analyze a long-term (1952-2013) dataset of phenological observations across western Germany and observations from a two-year field experiment to directly compare the phenologies of winter wheat cultivars released between 1950 and 2006. We found a 14-18% decline in the temperature sum required from emergence to flowering for the modern cultivars of winter wheat compared with the cultivars grown in the 1950s and 1960s. The trends in the flowering day obtained from a phenology model parameterized with the field observations showed that changes in the mean temperature and cultivar properties contributed similarly to the trends in the flowering day, whereas the effects of changes in the sowing day were negligible. We conclude that the single-cultivar concept commonly used in climate change impact assessments results in an overestimation of winter wheat sensitivity to increasing temperature, which suggests that studies on climate change effects should consider changes in cultivars.

Indexed as

AgricultureClimate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalGermanySeasonsTemperatureTriticum

Identifiers

PMID29559704
PMCPMC5861073

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.