Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29559283›Full record

Trial reportInternational journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics2018

Ki67 Is an Independent Predictor of Recurrence in the Largest Randomized Trial of 3 Radiation Fractionation Schedules in Localized Prostate Cancer.

Anna C Wilkins, Barry Gusterson, Zsolt Szijgyarto, Joanne Haviland, Clare Griffin, Christine Stuttle, Frances Daley, Catherine M Corbishley, David P Dearnaley, Emma Hall and 2 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Hypofractionation for clinically localized prostate cancer.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2019
    Pooled it
  2. Frontiers in physiology · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Can we use Ki67 expression to predict prostate cancer aggressiveness?Revista do Colegio Brasileiro de Cirurgioes · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Anna C WilkinsInstitute of Cancer Research-Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom; Division of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom; The Royal Marsden, Sutton, London, United Kingdom.
Barry GustersonDivision of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
Zsolt SzijgyartoInstitute of Cancer Research-Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
Joanne HavilandInstitute of Cancer Research-Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
Clare GriffinInstitute of Cancer Research-Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
Christine StuttleDivision of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
Frances DaleyDivision of Breast Cancer Research, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
Catherine M CorbishleyDivision of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
David P DearnaleyDivision of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom; The Royal Marsden, Sutton, London, United Kingdom.
Emma HallInstitute of Cancer Research-Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom.
Navita SomaiahDivision of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom; The Royal Marsden, Sutton, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: navita.somaiah@icr.ac.uk.
CHHiP Trial Investigators
Institute of Cancer Research · GBRoyal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 10588Cancer Research UK 12518Cancer Research UK 19727Cancer Research UK 7253Cancer Research UK A21518Cancer Research UK C1491/A15955Cancer Research UK C1491/A9895Cancer Research UK C33589/A19727Cancer Research UK CRUK/06/16Cancer Research UK SP2312/021Department of Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo assess whether the cellular proliferation marker Ki67 provides prognostic information and predicts response to radiation therapy fractionation in patients with localized prostate tumors participating in a randomized trial of 3 radiation therapy fractionation schedules (74 Gy/37 fractions vs 60 Gy/20 fractions vs 57 Gy/19 fractions). METHODS AND MATERIALS: A matched case-control study design was used; patients with biochemical/clinical failure >2 years after radiation therapy (BCR) were matched 1:1 to patients without recurrence using established prognostic factors (Gleason score, prostate-specific antigen, tumor stage) and fractionation schedule. Immunohistochemistry was used to stain diagnostic biopsy specimens for Ki67, which were scored using the unweighted global method. Conditional logistic regression models estimated the prognostic value of mean and maximum Ki67 scores on BCR risk. Biomarker-fractionation interaction terms determined whether Ki67 was predictive of BCR by fractionation.

resultsUsing 173 matched pairs, the median for mean and maximum Ki67 scores were 6.6% (interquartile range, 3.9%-9.8%) and 11.0% (interquartile range, 7.0%-15.0%) respectively. Both scores were significant predictors of BCR in models adjusted for established prognostic factors. Conditioning on matching variables and age, the odds of BCR were estimated to increase by 9% per 1% increase in mean Ki67 score (odds ratio 1.09; 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.15, P = .001). Interaction terms between Ki67 and fractionation schedules were not statistically significant.

conclusionsDiagnostic Ki67 did not predict BCR according to fractionation schedule in CHHiP; however, it was a strong independent prognostic factor for BCR.

Indexed as

Dose Fractionation, RadiationNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAgedCell ProliferationHumansImmunohistochemistryKi-67 AntigenLogistic ModelsMaleMatched-Pair AnalysisNeoplasm GradingOdds RatioPredictive Value of TestsProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsKi-67 AntigenProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID29559283
PMCPMC5947826
OpenAlexW2793930591

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.