Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29555739›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2018

Spatially disaggregated population estimates in the absence of national population and housing census data.

N A Wardrop, W C Jochem, T J Bird, H R Chamberlain, D Clarke, D Kerr, L Bengtsson, S Juran, V Seaman, A J Tatem

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Advances in small area population estimation in the absence of national census data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
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  5. Article
  6. Long-range PMNature · 2025
    Article
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  8. Review
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  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Observational

5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

N A WardropWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
W C JochemWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
T J BirdWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
H R ChamberlainWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
D ClarkeWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
D KerrWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
L BengtssonWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
S JuranPopulation and Development Branch, United Nations Population Fund, New York, NY 10158.
V SeamanBill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA 98109.
A J TatemWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom; A.J.Tatem@soton.ac.uk.

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 106866/Z/15/ZWellcome Trust 204613/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Population numbers at local levels are fundamental data for many applications, including the delivery and planning of services, election preparation, and response to disasters. In resource-poor settings, recent and reliable demographic data at subnational scales can often be lacking. National population and housing census data can be outdated, inaccurate, or missing key groups or areas, while registry data are generally lacking or incomplete. Moreover, at local scales accurate boundary data are often limited, and high rates of migration and urban growth make existing data quickly outdated. Here we review past and ongoing work aimed at producing spatially disaggregated local-scale population estimates, and discuss how new technologies are now enabling robust and cost-effective solutions. Recent advances in the availability of detailed satellite imagery, geopositioning tools for field surveys, statistical methods, and computational power are enabling the development and application of approaches that can estimate population distributions at fine spatial scales across entire countries in the absence of census data. We outline the potential of such approaches as well as their limitations, emphasizing the political and operational hurdles for acceptance and sustainable implementation of new approaches, and the continued importance of traditional sources of national statistical data.

Indexed as

CensusesHousingModels, TheoreticalPopulation DensityPopulation DynamicsDeveloping CountriesEmigrants and ImmigrantsHumanscensusgeostatisticspopulationremote sensingsurveys

Identifiers

PMID29555739
PMCPMC5889633

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.