Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29553343›Full record

ArticleJournal of studies on alcohol and drugs2018

Reasons for Testing Mediation in the Absence of an Intervention Effect: A Research Imperative in Prevention and Intervention Research.

Holly P O'Rourke, David P MacKinnon

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06821035 (Teaching Youth & Families Self-Regulation Skills to Disrupt the Impact of Adverse Childhood Experiences), which is not on this map. Cited by 128 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
128citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06821035 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Teaching Youth & Families Self-Regulation Skills to Disrupt the Impact of Adverse Childhood Experiences: Preventing Substance Use in Adversity- Impacted Youth

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of California, IrvineRan2025 to 2028Enrolled210ConditionsAdverse Childhood Experiences, Family FunctioningArmsGarnering Resilience in Traumatized youth and families (GRIT), Digital Citizenship Curriculum (DCC)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

128 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. A developmental cascade perspective of paediatric obesity: A systematic review of preventive interventions from infancy through late adolescence.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2020
    Pooled it
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  7. Family Check-Up Online: Effects of a Virtual Randomized Trial on Parent Stress, Parenting, and Child Outcomes in Early Adolescence.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2026
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  10. Loneliness, Self-Efficacy and Adaptive Coping: Mixed Methods Analysis of Mediation in a Peer Support Intervention for Depression.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2025
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  19. Differential mechanisms of change in motivational interviewing versus health education for smoking cessation induction.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2021
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68 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Holly P O'RourkeT. Denny Sanford School of Social and Family Dynamics, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona.
David P MacKinnonPsychology Department, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona.

Funding

Research training in substance use prevention: Closing the research-practice gapT32DA039772 · NIDA · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI Cady Berkel, Nancy A. Gonzales · 2015 to 2026
$4.2M
Estimating Mediation Effects in Prevention StudiesR37DA009757 · NIDA · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI MACKINNON, DAVID P · 2015 to 2024
$3.5M
ESTIMATING MEDIATION EFFECTS IN PREVENTION STUDIESR01DA009757 · NIDA · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI MACKINNON, DAVID P · 1996 to 2013
$2.6M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA009757NIDA NIH HHS R37 DA009757NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA039772
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveMediation models are used in prevention and intervention research to assess the mechanisms by which interventions influence outcomes. However, researchers may not investigate mediators in the absence of intervention effects on the primary outcome variable. There is emerging evidence that in some situations, tests of mediated effects can be statistically significant when the total intervention effect is not statistically significant. In addition, there are important conceptual and practical reasons for investigating mediation when the intervention effect is nonsignificant.

methodThis article discusses the conditions under which mediation may be present when an intervention effect does not have a statistically significant effect and why mediation should always be considered important.

resultsMediation may be present in the following conditions: when the total and mediated effects are equal in value, when the mediated and direct effects have opposing signs, when mediated effects are equal across single and multiple-mediator models, and when specific mediated effects have opposing signs. Mediation should be conducted in every study because it provides the opportunity to test known and replicable mediators, to use mediators as an intervention manipulation check, and to address action and conceptual theory in intervention models.

conclusionsMediators are central to intervention programs, and mediators should be investigated for the valuable information they provide about the success or failure of interventions.

Indexed as

NegotiatingResearch DesignAlcoholismCognitive Behavioral TherapyFemaleHumans

Identifiers

PMID29553343
PMCPMC6019768

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.