Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29547673›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Trends in warfarin use and its associations with thromboembolic and bleeding rates in a population with atrial fibrillation between 1996 and 2011.

Peter Wæde Hansen, Thomas S G Sehested, Emil Loldrup Fosbøl, Christian Torp-Pedersen, Lars Køber, Charlotte Andersson, Gunnar H Gislason

Registry-linked trialAbstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04921176 (Evaluating Quality of Life of AF Patients Following a Bleed), which is not on this map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04921176 completednot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Evaluating Quality of Life of AF Patients Following a Bleed

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorSwansea UniversityRan2020 to 2022Enrolled32ConditionsAtrial Fibrillation
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Mortality in atrial fibrillation. Is it changing?Trends in cardiovascular medicine · 2021
    Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Peter Wæde HansenThe Danish Heart Foundation, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-2427-1724
Thomas S G SehestedThe Danish Heart Foundation, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Emil Loldrup FosbølThe Heart Centre, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Christian Torp-PedersenInstitute of Health, Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.
Lars KøberThe Heart Centre, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Charlotte AnderssonThe Heart Centre, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Gunnar H GislasonThe Danish Heart Foundation, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimWarfarin is a cornerstone for the prevention of thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation (AF), and several efforts have been taken to increase its usage and safety, including risk stratification schemes. Our aim was to investigate the temporal trends in initiation of warfarin and its effects on incidence of bleeding and thromboembolism in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation 1996-2011.

methodsAll patients with a first-time diagnosis of non-valvular atrial fibrillation were identified from nationwide administrative registries. Trends were determined by linear regression.

resultsIn total 153,682 patients were included. Initiation of warfarin increased from 14% to 41% (p<0.0001). Events of thromboembolism decreased from 3.9% to 2.6% annually (p<0.0001). The greatest decline in thromboembolic events was observed for patients with a CHA2DS2VASc score >1, where the annual decline was -0.12% (95%CI: -0.161; -0.084)) for those treated with warfarin and -0.073% (95%CI: -0.116;-0.030)) for those not treated with warfarin. Bleeding increased from 3.3% to 3.9% (p = 0.043). For those with a CHA2DS2VASc score >1 annual bleeding rates increased by 0.095% (95%CI: -0.025; -0.165) in warfarin treated and by 0.056% (95%CI: -0.013; -0.100) in patients not treated with warfarin.

conclusionWarfarin use increased by nearly a 3-fold between 1996 and 2011. During the same period, thromboembolic events declined by a third and bleeding increased by a fifth, suggesting a beneficial effect associated with higher warfarin use. Notably, a small decline in thromboembolic events and increase in bleeding events was observed for the untreated population, suggesting a changing risk profile of AF patients.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAnticoagulantsAtrial FibrillationComorbidityDenmarkHemorrhageHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansMiddle AgedPlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsPopulation SurveillanceRegistriesThromboembolismWarfarinAnticoagulantsPlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsWarfarin

Identifiers

PMID29547673
PMCPMC5856343

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.