Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29542015›Full record

ArticleJournal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology2019

Prediction of cardiac death after adenosine myocardial perfusion SPECT based on machine learning.

David Haro Alonso, Miles N Wernick, Yongyi Yang, Guido Germano, Daniel S Berman, Piotr Slomka

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed.

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  17. "Global" cardiac atherosclerotic burden assessed by artificial intelligence-based versus manual segmentation inJournal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

David Haro AlonsoMedical Imaging Research Center, Illinois Institute of Technology, 3440 S. Dearborn St., Suite 100, Chicago, IL, 60616, USA.
Miles N WernickMedical Imaging Research Center, Illinois Institute of Technology, 3440 S. Dearborn St., Suite 100, Chicago, IL, 60616, USA. wernick@iit.edu.
Yongyi YangMedical Imaging Research Center, Illinois Institute of Technology, 3440 S. Dearborn St., Suite 100, Chicago, IL, 60616, USA.
Guido GermanoDepartments of Imaging and Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Daniel S BermanDepartments of Imaging and Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Piotr SlomkaDepartments of Imaging and Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

Quantitative Prediction of Disease and Outcomes from Next Generation SPECT and CTR01HL089765 · NHLBI · CEDARS-SINAI MEDICAL CENTER · PI SLOMKA, PIOTR J · 2007 to 2021
$6.1M
Probing Dose Limits in Cardiac SPECT with Reconstruction and Personalized ImagingR01HL122484 · NHLBI · ILLINOIS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI KING, MICHAEL A, WERNICK, MILES N · 2014 to 2018
$3.9M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL089765NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL122484
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe developed machine-learning (ML) models to estimate a patient's risk of cardiac death based on adenosine myocardial perfusion SPECT (MPS) and associated clinical data, and compared their performance to baseline logistic regression (LR). We demonstrated an approach to visually convey the reasoning behind a patient's risk to provide insight to clinicians beyond that of a "black box."

methodsWe trained multiple models using 122 potential clinical predictors (features) for 8321 patients, including 551 cases of subsequent cardiac death. Accuracy was measured by area under the ROC curve (AUC), computed within a cross-validation framework. We developed a method to display the model's rationale to facilitate clinical interpretation.

resultsThe baseline LR (AUC = 0.76; 14 features) was outperformed by all other methods. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) model (AUC = 0.77; p = .045; 6 features) required the fewest features. A support vector machine (SVM) model (AUC = 0.83; p < .0001; 49 features) provided the highest accuracy.

conclusionsLASSO outperformed LR in both accuracy and simplicity (number of features), with SVM yielding best AUC for prediction of cardiac death in patients undergoing MPS. Combined with presenting the reasoning behind the risk scores, our results suggest that ML can be more effective than LR for this application.

Indexed as

Death, Sudden, CardiacMachine LearningTomography, Emission-Computed, Single-PhotonAgedAlgorithmsArea Under CurveFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeartHumansMaleMiddle AgedProbabilityRegression AnalysisReproducibility of ResultsRiskCardiac deathdata visualizationfeature selectionmachine learningrisk model

Identifiers

PMID29542015
PMCPMC6138585

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.