Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29540708›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Global Incidence and mortality of oesophageal cancer and their correlation with socioeconomic indicators temporal patterns and trends in 41 countries.

Martin C S Wong, Willie Hamilton, David C Whiteman, Johnny Y Jiang, Youlin Qiao, Franklin D H Fung, Harry H X Wang, Philip W Y Chiu, Enders K W Ng, Justin C Y Wu and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Martin C S WongThe JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Hong Kong, China.
Willie HamiltonUniversity of Exeter, College House, St Luke's Campus, Exeter, United Kingdom.
David C WhitemanQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia.
Johnny Y JiangThe Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
Youlin QiaoThe Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6380-0871
Franklin D H FungThe JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Hong Kong, China.
Harry H X WangThe School of Public Health of the Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0361-6527
Philip W Y ChiuThe Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), Shatin, Hong Kong, China.
Enders K W NgThe Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), Shatin, Hong Kong, China.
Justin C Y WuThe Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), Shatin, Hong Kong, China.
Jun YuThe Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), Shatin, Hong Kong, China.
Francis K L ChanThe Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), Shatin, Hong Kong, China.
Joseph J Y SungThe Institute of Digestive Disease, Faculty of Medicine of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), Shatin, Hong Kong, China. jjysung@cuhk.edu.hk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Oesophageal cancers (adenocarcinomas [AC] and squamous cell carcinomas [SCC]) are characterized by high incidence/mortality in many countries. We aimed to delineate its global incidence and mortality, and studied whether socioeconomic development and its incidence rate were correlated. The age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incidence and mortality of this medical condition in 2012 for 184 nations from the GLOBOCAN database; national databases capturing incidence rates, and the WHO mortality database were examined. Their correlations with two indicators of socioeconomic development were evaluated. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to generate trends. The ratio between the ASR of AC and SCC was strongly correlated with HDI (r = 0.535 [men]; r = 0.661 [women]) and GDP (r = 0.594 [men]; r = 0.550 [women], both p < 0.001). Countries that reported the largest reduction in incidence in male included Poland (Average Annual Percent Change [AAPC] = -7.1, 95%C.I. = -12,-1.9) and Singapore (AAPC = -5.8, 95%C.I. = -9.5,-1.9), whereas for women the greatest decline was seen in Singapore (AAPC = -12.3, 95%C.I. = -17.3,-6.9) and China (AAPC = -5.6, 95%C.I. = -7.6,-3.4). The Philippines (AAPC = 4.3, 95%C.I. = 2,6.6) and Bulgaria (AAPC = 2.8, 95%C.I. = 0.5,5.1) had a significant mortality increase in men; whilst Columbia (AAPC = -6.1, 95%C.I. = -7.5,-4.6) and Slovenia (AAPC = -4.6, 95%C.I. = -7.9,-1.3) reported mortality decline in women. These findings inform individuals at increased risk for primary prevention.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMortalitySocioeconomic FactorsSpatio-Temporal Analysis

Identifiers

PMID29540708
PMCPMC5852053

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.