Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29514233›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2018

The Continuing Burden of Advanced HIV Disease Over 10 Years of Increasing Antiretroviral Therapy Coverage in South Africa.

Meg Osler, Katherine Hilderbrand, Eric Goemaere, Nathan Ford, Mariette Smith, Graeme Meintjes, James Kruger, Nelesh P Govender, Andrew Boulle

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 88 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
88citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
10.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

88 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 137 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. CD4 Cell Count Threshold for Cryptococcal Antigen Screening of HIV-Infected Individuals: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
    Pooled it
  8. Trial
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  10. SEARCH Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Streamlined Treatment Intervention Reduces Mortality at a Population Level in Men With Low CD4 Counts.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Trial
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  17. An integrated support model for lay health care workers to improve clients' retention in HIV care.South African family practice : official journal of the South African Academy of Family Practice/Primary Care · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

28 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Meg OslerCentre for Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town.
Katherine HilderbrandCentre for Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town.
Eric GoemaereCentre for Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town.
Nathan FordCentre for Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town.
Mariette SmithCentre for Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town.
Graeme MeintjesWellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town.
James KrugerDepartment of Health, Provincial Government of the Western Cape.
Nelesh P GovenderCentre for Healthcare-Associated Infections, Antimicrobial Resistance and Mycoses, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service.
Andrew BoulleCentre for Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town.
Médecins Sans Frontières · ZAWestern Cape Department of Health · ZAGroote Schuur Hospital · ZAUniversity of Cape Town · ZAUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZAWellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa · ZAWorld Health Organization · CH

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
B positive_A population based evaluation of expanded ART access in pregnancyR01HD080465 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI KALK, EMMA KATE · 2014 to 2019
$4.3M
Using Information to Align Services and Link and Retain Men in the HIV CascadeR01MH106600 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI COLVIN, CHRISTOPHER JAMES, LURIE, MARK NATHAN · 2015 to 2019
$2.1M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD080465NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH106600Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 098316World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Antiretroviral treatment (ART) has been massively scaled up to decrease human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related morbidity, mortality, and HIV transmission. However, despite documented increases in ART coverage, morbidity and mortality have remained substantial. This study describes trends in the numbers and characteristics of patients with very advanced HIV disease in the Western Cape, South Africa. Methods: Annual cross-sectional snapshots of CD4 distributions were described over 10 years, derived from a province-wide cohort of all HIV patients receiving CD4 cell count testing in the public sector. Patients with a first CD4 count <50 cells/µL in each year were characterized with respect to prior CD4 and viral load testing, ART access, and retention in ART care. Results: Patients attending HIV care for the first time initially constituted the largest group of those with CD4 count <50 cells/µL, dropping proportionally over the decade from 60.9% to 26.7%. By contrast, the proportion who were ART experienced increased from 14.3% to 56.7%. In patients with CD4 counts <50 cells/µL in 2016, 51.8% were ART experienced, of whom 76% could be confirmed to be off ART or had recent viremia. More than half who were ART experienced with a CD4 count <50 cells/µL in 2016 were men, compared to approximately one-third of all patients on ART in the same year. Conclusions: Ongoing HIV-associated morbidity now results largely from treatment-experienced patients not being in continuous care or not being fully virologically suppressed. Innovative interventions to retain ART patients in effective care are an essential priority for the ongoing HIV response.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessAdultAnti-HIV AgentsAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCD4 Lymphocyte CountCohort StudiesCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceSouth AfricaTime FactorsViral LoadAnti-HIV Agents

Identifiers

PMID29514233
PMCPMC5850025
OpenAlexW2790367178

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.