Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29511249›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

A state-space modelling approach to wildlife monitoring with application to flying-fox abundance.

David A Westcott, Peter Caley, Daniel K Heersink, Adam McKeown

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

David A WestcottCSIRO Land and Water, PO Box 780, Atherton, Queensland, Australia. david.westcott@csiro.au.
Peter CaleyCSIRO Data61, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8077-6460
Daniel K HeersinkCSIRO Data61, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Adam McKeownCSIRO Land and Water, PO Box 12139, Earlville BC, Qld, 4870, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Monitoring flying-foxes is challenging as their extreme mobility produces highly dynamic population processes, considerable logistic difficulty, and variability in estimated population size. We report on methods for inferring population trend for the population of the spectacled flying-fox (Pteropus conspicillatus) in Australia. Monthly monitoring is conducted at all known roost sites across the species' range in the Wet Tropics Region. The proportion of animals in camps varies seasonally and stochastic environmental events appear to be influential. We develop a state-space model that incorporates these processes and enables inference on total population trends and uses early warning analysis to identify the causes of population dynamics. The model suggests that population growth rate is stable in the absence of cyclones, however, cyclones appear to impact on both survival and reproduction. The population recovered after two cyclones but declined after a third. The modelling estimates a population decline over 15 years of c. 75% (mean r = - 0.12yr

Indexed as

PhylogeographyPopulation DynamicsAnimalsAustraliaChiropteraModels, StatisticalSpatio-Temporal AnalysisTropical Climate

Identifiers

PMID29511249
PMCPMC5840426

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.