Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29504199›Full record

ArticleThe Milbank quarterly2018

Transformation of the Health Care Industry: Curb Your Enthusiasm?

Lawton R Burns, Mark V Pauly

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in The Milbank quarterly, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Increasing Utilization of Advanced Practice Providers in Spine Surgery from 2013 to 2022: A Medicare Part B Analysis.Journal of the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons. Global research & reviews · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Pay-for-performance programs effectiveness in healthcare: the case of the end-stage renal disease quality incentive program.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024
    Article
  6. Doctors as Resource Stewards? Translating High-Value, Cost-Conscious Care to the Consulting Room.Health care analysis : HCA : journal of health philosophy and policy · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Structural factors and integrated care interventions: is there a role for economists in the policy debate?The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2021
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. A Value-Based Steering Model for Healthcare.Frontiers in health services · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Lawton R BurnsThe Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.
Mark V PaulyThe Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Policy Points: Policymakers seek to transform the US health care system along two dimensions simultaneously: alternative payment models and new models of provider organization. This transformation is supposed to transfer risk to providers and make them more accountable for health care costs and quality. The transformation in payment and provider organization is neither happening quickly nor shifting risk to providers. The impact on health care cost and quality is also weak or nonexistent. In the longer run, decision makers should be prepared to accept the limits on transformation and carefully consider whether to advocate solutions not yet supported by evidence. CONTEXT: There is a widespread belief that the US health care system needs to move "from volume to value." This transformation to value (eg, quality divided by cost) is conceptualized as a two-fold movement: (1) from fee-for-service to alternative payment models; and (2) from solo practice and freestanding hospitals to medical homes, accountable care organizations, large hospital systems, and organized clinics like Kaiser Permanente.

methodsWe evaluate whether this transformation is happening quickly, shifting risk to providers, lowering costs, and improving quality. We draw on recent evidence on provider payment and organization and their effects on cost and quality.

findingsData suggest a low prevalence of provider risk payment models and slow movement toward new payment and organizational models. Evidence suggests the impact of both on cost and quality is weak.

conclusionsWe need to be patient in expecting system improvements from ongoing changes in provider payment and organization. We also may need to look for improvements in other areas of the economy or to accept and accommodate prospects of modest improvements over time.

Indexed as

Health Care ReformReimbursement MechanismsAccountable Care OrganizationsHealth Care CostsHealth Care SectorHealth PolicyHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansQuality ImprovementUnited Statescostorganizationpaymentqualityvalue

Identifiers

PMID29504199
PMCPMC5835686

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.