ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2018
Decline in the perceived risk of cigarette smoking between 2006 and 2015: Findings from a U.S. nationally representative sample.
Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Prevalence of tobacco use in a cross-sectional survey of people initiating HIV care in a Chennai clinic.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Perceptions of Smoking Stigma Among African Americans: A Qualitative Study.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025Article
- Perceived Risk of Trying Lysergic Acid Diethylamide in the United States from 2015 to 2019: Are Americans Assessing Lysergic Acid Diethylamide's Risk Profile More Favorably?Psychedelic medicine (New Rochelle, N.Y.) · 2024Article
- Overview and countermeasures of cancer burden in China.Science China. Life sciences · 2023Review
- Smoking Cessation and Tobacco-related Risk Perceptions among People with and without a Diagnosis of Cancer.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023Article
- Evaluation of Risk Perception of Smoking after the Implementation of California's Tobacco 21 Law.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Current Tobacco Use Trends and Harm Perceptions Among High School Students by Asthma Status and Sex, 2012-2018.The Journal of school health · 2022Article
- Intentions to Seek Information about E-Cigarettes: Perceived Risk, Efficacy, and Smoking Identity.Journal of health communication · 2021Article
- Risk perceptions regarding cigarette smoking in the United States continue to decline.Drug and alcohol dependence · 2020Article
- Graphic Warning Labels Affect Hypothetical Cigarette Purchasing Behavior among Smokers Living with HIV.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Support for Local Tobacco Policy in a Preemptive State.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Tobacco Product Harm Perceptions and New Use.Pediatrics · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
introductionPerceived risk of smoking is associated with smoking status, interest in quitting, quit attempts, and sustained quitting. Tracking and reporting of risk perceptions is integral to inform regulation and education. However, no research describes temporal changes in perceived great risk of smoking in the U.S. using nationally representative data.
methodsData came from the 2006-2015 National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH). Time trends were assessed for the population overall, stratified by smoking status and by sociodemographic characteristics. Linear time trends of perceived great risk (versus other risk) were assessed using logistic regression, with survey year as the predictor.
resultsPerceived great risk of smoking declined significantly among the entire population between 2006 and 2015 (73.89% versus 72.89%). Perceived great risk also decreased among all smoking statuses: daily (51.16% versus 48.19%), non-daily (64.12% versus 58.44%, former (79.57% versus 77.12%), and non-smokers (79.32% versus 77.10%). The prevalence of perceived great risk declined between 2006 and 2015 among both males and females; the rate of decline was more rapid among females (aOR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.97, 0.98 versus aOR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.98, 0.99). Older age, African American and Hispanic race/ethnicity, educational attainment, and non-daily, former, and never smoking statuses were positively associated with perceived great risk of smoking. DISCUSSION: Perceived risk of smoking has declined over a 10-year period in the U.S. Declines in perceived risk indicate the need for innovative interventions to reinforce the harms associated with smoking. Differential rates of decline among males and females indicate the need for sex-specific interventions.
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