Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29489860›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Phylodynamics and evolutionary epidemiology of African swine fever p72-CVR genes in Eurasia and Africa.

Moh A Alkhamis, Carmina Gallardo, Cristina Jurado, Alejandro Soler, Marisa Arias, José M Sánchez-Vizcaíno

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In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  5. Host-Calibrated Time Tree Caps the Age of Giant Viruses.Molecular biology and evolution · 2025
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  17. African Swine Fever Survey in a European Context.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Moh A AlkhamisFaculty of Public Heath, Health Sciences Centre, Kuwait University, Kuwait City, Kuwait.
Carmina GallardoEuropean Union Reference Laboratory for African swine fever. Centro de Investigación en Sanidad Animal (INIA-CISA), Madrid, Spain.
Cristina JuradoVISAVET Health Surveillance Centre and Animal Health Department, Veterinary School, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
Alejandro SolerEuropean Union Reference Laboratory for African swine fever. Centro de Investigación en Sanidad Animal (INIA-CISA), Madrid, Spain.
Marisa AriasEuropean Union Reference Laboratory for African swine fever. Centro de Investigación en Sanidad Animal (INIA-CISA), Madrid, Spain.
José M Sánchez-VizcaínoVISAVET Health Surveillance Centre and Animal Health Department, Veterinary School, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

African swine fever (ASF) is a complex infectious disease of swine that constitutes devastating impacts on animal health and the world economy. Here, we investigated the evolutionary epidemiology of ASF virus (ASFV) in Eurasia and Africa using the concatenated gene sequences of the viral protein 72 and the central variable region of isolates collected between 1960 and 2015. We used Bayesian phylodynamic models to reconstruct the evolutionary history of the virus, to identify virus population demographics and to quantify dispersal patterns between host species. Results suggest that ASFV exhibited a significantly high evolutionary rate and population growth through time since its divergence in the 18th century from East Africa, with no signs of decline till recent years. This increase corresponds to the growing pig trade activities between continents during the 19th century, and may be attributed to an evolutionary drift that resulted from either continuous circulation or maintenance of the virus within Africa and Eurasia. Furthermore, results implicate wild suids as the ancestral host species (root state posterior probability = 0.87) for ASFV in the early 1700s in Africa. Moreover, results indicate the transmission cycle between wild suids and pigs is an important cycle for ASFV spread and maintenance in pig populations, while ticks are an important natural reservoir that can facilitate ASFV spread and maintenance in wild swine populations. We illustrated the prospects of phylodynamic methods in improving risk-based surveillance, support of effective animal health policies, and epidemic preparedness in countries at high risk of ASFV incursion.

Indexed as

Molecular EpidemiologyPhylogenyAfricaAfrican Swine FeverAnimalsAsfarviridaeAsiaEuropeGenes, ViralSwine

Identifiers

PMID29489860
PMCPMC5831051

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.