Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29471593›Full record

ArticleArthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)2018

Clinical Evolution in Patients With New-Onset Inflammatory Back Pain: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Runsheng Wang, Cynthia S Crowson, Kerry Wright, Michael M Ward

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Spondyloarthritis in Latin America: a difficult-to-diagnose challenge.Therapeutic advances in musculoskeletal disease · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Runsheng WangColumbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York, and National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-8115-7509
Cynthia S CrowsonMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.ORCID 0000-0001-5847-7475
Kerry WrightMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Michael M WardNational Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland.
Mayo Clinic · USNational Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases · US

Funding

Mayo Clinic Center for Translational Science ActivitiesUL1TR000135 · NCATS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI KHOSLA, SUNDEEP · 2012 to 2015
$41.2M
Outcomes in Rheumatic DiseasesZIAAR041153 · NIAMS · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ARTHRITIS AND MUSCULOSKELETAL AND SKIN DISEASES · PI WARD, MICHAEL · 2009 to 2020
$12.6M
Rochester Epidemiology ProjectR01AG034676 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ROCCA, WALTER A, ST SAUVER, JENNIFER LYNN · 2010 to 2019
$9.5M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 AR999999Intramural NIH HHS ZIA AR041153NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034676
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveInflammatory back pain (IBP) is often an early manifestation of spondyloarthritis (SpA), but the prognosis of patients with incident IBP is unknown. This study was undertaken to investigate long-term outcomes in patients with IBP, and predictors of progression to SpA, in a population-based cohort.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective, longitudinal study using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, a longstanding population-based cohort of residents of Olmsted County, MN. Patients ages 16-35 years with clinical visits for back pain from 1999 to 2003 were identified, and we screened these patients for the presence of new-onset IBP and performed medical record reviews to collect data on clinical, laboratory, and imaging features of SpA. Outcomes in these patients were followed up until July 2016. We used survival analysis for competing risks to examine progression to either SpA, a non-SpA diagnosis, or resolution of back pain. Recursive partitioning was used to identify predictors of progression to SpA.

resultsAmong 5,304 patients with back pain, we identified 124 patients with new-onset IBP. After a median follow-up of 13.2 years, IBP had progressed to SpA in 39 patients, 15 patients developed a non-SpA diagnosis, and 58 patients had resolution of IBP. At 10 years, the probability of having SpA was 30%, while the probability of resolution of IBP was 43%. The most important predictors for progression to SpA were uveitis, male sex, and family history of SpA.

conclusionIn a minority of patients, new-onset IBP progresses to SpA, while IBP resolves in many. That IBP often resolves may explain the difference between the prevalence of IBP (3-6%) and the prevalence of SpA (0.4-1.3%).

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultBack PainDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansIncidenceInflammationLongitudinal StudiesMaleMinnesotaPrevalencePrognosisRetrospective StudiesSpondylarthritisYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID29471593
PMCPMC6019558
OpenAlexW2794418833

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.