Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29468073›Full record

ArticleBMJ open respiratory research2018

Survival prediction in mesothelioma using a scalable Lasso regression model: instructions for use and initial performance using clinical predictors.

Andrew C Kidd, Michael McGettrick, Selina Tsim, Daniel L Halligan, Max Bylesjo, Kevin G Blyth

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open respiratory research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 123 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
123citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

123 citing papers in PubMed.

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63 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Andrew C KiddPleural Disease Unit, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.
Michael McGettrickPleural Disease Unit, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.
Selina TsimPleural Disease Unit, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.
Daniel L HalliganFios Genomics, Edinburgh, UK.
Max BylesjoFios Genomics, Edinburgh, UK.
Kevin G BlythPleural Disease Unit, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.

Funding

Chief Scientist Office ETM/285
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAccurate prognostication is difficult in malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM). We developed a set of robust computational models to quantify the prognostic value of routinely available clinical data, which form the basis of published MPM prognostic models.

methodsData regarding 269 patients with MPM were allocated to balanced training (n=169) and validation sets (n=100). Prognostic signatures (minimal length best performing multivariate trained models) were generated by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression for overall survival (OS), OS <6 months and OS <12 months. OS prediction was quantified using Somers D

resultsMedian OS was 270 (IQR 140-450) days. The primary OS model assigned high weights to four predictors: age, performance status, white cell count and serum albumin, and after cross-validation performed significantly better than would be expected by chance (mean D

conclusionsThe prognostic value of the basic clinical information contained in these, and previously published models, is fundamentally of limited value in accurately predicting MPM prognosis. The methods described are suitable for expansion using emerging predictors, including tumour genomics and volumetric staging.

Indexed as

mesotheliomapleural diseasePrediction models

Identifiers

PMID29468073
PMCPMC5812388

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.