Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29467408›Full record

ReviewNature communications2018

Prediction complements explanation in understanding the developing brain.

Monica D Rosenberg, B J Casey, Avram J Holmes

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature communications, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 104 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
104citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

104 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Systematic Review and Meta-analysis: Task-based fMRI Studies in Youths With Irritability.Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Representing Brain-Behavior Associations by Retaining High-Motion Minoritized Youth.Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. The Beholder's Share: Bridging art and neuroscience to study individual differences in subjective experience.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  15. Temporal autocorrelation is predictive of age-An extensive MEG time-series analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Article

44 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Monica D RosenbergDepartment of Psychology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA. monica.rosenberg@yale.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6179-4025
B J CaseyDepartment of Psychology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA.
Avram J HolmesDepartment of Psychology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA.

Funding

ABCD-USA: NYC Research ProjectU01DA041174 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Arielle Ryan Baskin-Sommers, Betty J Casey · 2015 to 2026
$19.7M
Dimensional Neurogenetic Markers of Limbic System Integrity & Psychiatric IllnessK01MH099232 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI HOLMES, AVRAM J · 2013 to 2017
$738k
NIDA NIH HHS U01 DA041174NIMH NIH HHS K01 MH099232
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A central aim of human neuroscience is understanding the neurobiology of cognition and behavior. Although we have made significant progress towards this goal, reliance on group-level studies of the developed adult brain has limited our ability to explain population variability and developmental changes in neural circuitry and behavior. In this review, we suggest that predictive modeling, a method for predicting individual differences in behavior from brain features, can complement descriptive approaches and provide new ways to account for this variability. Highlighting the outsized scientific and clinical benefits of prediction in developmental populations including adolescence, we show that predictive brain-based models are already providing new insights on adolescent-specific risk-related behaviors. Together with large-scale developmental neuroimaging datasets and complementary analytic approaches, predictive modeling affords us the opportunity and obligation to identify novel treatment targets and individually tailor the course of interventions for developmental psychopathologies that impact so many young people today.

Indexed as

Models, NeurologicalAdolescentAdultBrainChildCognitionCognition DisordersHumansIndividuality

Identifiers

PMID29467408
PMCPMC5821815

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.