Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29467262›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2018

Flight range, fuel load and the impact of climate change on the journeys of migrant birds.

Christine Howard, Philip A Stephens, Joseph A Tobias, Catherine Sheard, Stuart H M Butchart, Stephen G Willis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Biodiversity conservation requires integration of species-centric and process-based strategies.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
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  7. Decadal migration phenology of a long-lived Arctic icon keeps pace with climate change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Parasitology · 2020
    Review
  14. Integrating behaviour and ecology into global biodiversity conservation strategies.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Christine HowardConservation Ecology Group, Department of Biosciences, Durham University, South Road, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7514-9721
Philip A StephensConservation Ecology Group, Department of Biosciences, Durham University, South Road, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5849-788X
Joseph A TobiasDepartment of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst Road, Ascot, SL5 7PY, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2429-6179
Catherine SheardSchool of Biology, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, Fife KY16 9ST, UK.
Stuart H M ButchartBirdLife International, David Attenborough Building, Pembroke St., Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, UK.
Stephen G WillisConservation Ecology Group, Department of Biosciences, Durham University, South Road, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK s.g.willis@durham.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-8656-5808

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is predicted to increase migration distances for many migratory species, but the physiological and temporal implications of longer migratory journeys have not been explored. Here, we combine information about species' flight range potential and migratory refuelling requirements to simulate the number of stopovers required and the duration of current migratory journeys for 77 bird species breeding in Europe. Using tracking data, we show that our estimates accord with recorded journey times and stopovers for most species. We then combine projections of altered migratory distances under climate change with models of avian flight to predict future migratory journeys. We find that 37% of migratory journeys undertaken by long-distance migrants will necessitate an additional stopover in future. These greater distances and the increased number of stops will substantially increase overall journey durations of many long-distance migratory species, a factor not currently considered in climate impact studies.

Indexed as

Animal MigrationClimate ChangeFlight, AnimalAnimalsBirdsEuropeModels, BiologicalSeasonsAfro-Palaearctic migrantsclimate changedistancedurationmigrationstopovers

Identifiers

PMID29467262
PMCPMC5832701

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.