Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29466951›Full record

SynthesisBMC cardiovascular disorders2018

A methodology review on the incremental prognostic value of computed tomography biomarkers in addition to Framingham risk score in predicting cardiovascular disease: the use of association, discrimination and reclassification.

Chun Lap Pang, Nicola Pilkington, Yinghui Wei, Jaime Peters, Carl Roobottom, Chris Hyde

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Chun Lap PangUniversity of Plymouth, Plymouth University Peninsula Schools of Medicine and Dentistry, John Bull Building, Tamar Science Park, Research Way, Plymouth, PL6 8BU, UK. c.pang@doctors.org.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-6148-2715
Nicola PilkingtonPlymouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Derriford Hospital, Department of Anaesthetics, Derriford Rd, Plymouth, PL6 8DH, UK.
Yinghui WeiUniversity of Plymouth, School of Computing, Electronics and Mathematics, Plymouth, PL4 8AA, UK.
Jaime PetersUniversity of Exeter, South Cloisters, St Luke's Campus, Exeter, EX1 2LU, UK.
Carl RoobottomUniversity of Plymouth, Plymouth University Peninsula Schools of Medicine and Dentistry, John Bull Building, Tamar Science Park, Research Way, Plymouth, PL6 8BU, UK.
Chris HydeUniversity of Exeter, South Cloisters, St Luke's Campus, Exeter, EX1 2LU, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundComputed tomography (CT) biomarkers claim to improve cardiovascular risk stratification. This review focuses on significant differences in incremental measures between adequate and inadequate reporting practise.

methodsStudies included were those that used Framingham Risk Score as a baseline and described the incremental value of adding calcium score or CT coronary angiogram in predicting cardiovascular risk. Searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science and Cochrane Central were performed with no language restriction.

resultsThirty five studies consisting of 206,663 patients (men = 118,114, 55.1%) were included. The baseline Framingham Risk Score included the 1998, 2002 and 2008 iterations. Selective reporting, inconsistent reference groupings and thresholds were found. Twelve studies (34.3%) had major and 23 (65.7%) had minor alterations and the respective Δ AUC were significantly different (p = 0.015). When the baseline model performed well, the Δ AUC was relatively lower with the addition of a CT biomarker (Spearman coefficient = - 0.46, p < 0.0001; n = 33; 76 pairs of data). Other factors that influenced AUC performance included exploration of data analysis, calibration, validation, multivariable and AUC documentation (all p < 0.05). Most studies (68.7%) that reported categorical NRI (n = 16; 46 pairs of data) subjectively drew strong conclusions along with other poor reporting practices. However, no significant difference in values of NRI was found between adequate and inadequate reporting.

conclusionsThe widespread practice of poor reporting particularly association, discrimination, reclassification, calibration and validation undermines the claimed incremental value of CT biomarkers over the Framingham Risk Score alone. Inadequate reporting of discrimination inflates effect estimate, however, that is not necessarily the case for reclassification.

Indexed as

Computed Tomography AngiographyDocumentationMedical RecordsCoronary AngiographyCoronary Artery DiseaseCoronary VesselsFemaleHumansMalePredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsVascular CalcificationComputed tomographic coronary angiogramFramingham risk score: Calcium scorePrognosisThoracic calcium score

Identifiers

PMID29466951
PMCPMC5822603

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.