Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29444283›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA2018

Designing risk prediction models for ambulatory no-shows across different specialties and clinics.

Xiruo Ding, Ziad F Gellad, Chad Mather, Pamela Barth, Eric G Poon, Mark Newman, Benjamin A Goldstein

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
9.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 59 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Public perspectives on the use of different data types for prediction in healthcare.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
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  10. No-show after extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy treatment in endourology clinic: Can we build a typical patient profile?International journal of urology : official journal of the Japanese Urological Association · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Predicting no-shows for dental appointments.PeerJ. Computer science · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Efficient Prediction of Missed Clinical Appointment Using Machine Learning.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2021
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Xiruo DingDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27710, USA.
Ziad F GelladDepartment of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27703, USA.
Chad MatherDepartment of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27703, USA.
Pamela BarthDuke Health Technology Solutions, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27713, USA.
Eric G PoonDuke Health Technology Solutions, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27713, USA.
Mark NewmanDepartment of Anesthesiology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, Kentucky, 40536, USA.
Benjamin A GoldsteinDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27710, USA.
Duke University · USClinical Research Institute · USDurham VA Medical Center · USUniversity of Kentucky · US

Funding

Duke CTSA (Composite)UL1TR001117 · NCATS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI BOULWARE, LEIGH E, LI, JENNIFER S · 2013 to 2017
$41.3M
Understanding and predicting cardiac events in HD using real-time EHRsK25DK097279 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI GOLDSTEIN, BENJAMIN ALAN · 2013 to 2017
$797k
Simulation-Guided Systems Redesign in GI EndoscopyIK2HX001555 · VA · DURHAM VA MEDICAL CENTER · PI GELLAD, ZIAD · 2015 to 2019
–
HSRD VA IK2 HX001555NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001117NIDDK NIH HHS K25 DK097279
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: As available data increases, so does the opportunity to develop risk scores on more refined patient populations. In this paper we assessed the ability to derive a risk score for a patient no-showing to a clinic visit. Methods: Using data from 2 264 235 outpatient appointments we assessed the performance of models built across 14 different specialties and 55 clinics. We used regularized logistic regression models to fit and assess models built on the health system, specialty, and clinic levels. We evaluated fits based on their discrimination and calibration. Results: Overall, the results suggest that a relatively robust risk score for patient no-shows could be derived with an average C-statistic of 0.83 across clinic level models and strong calibration. Moreover, the clinic specific models, even with lower training set sizes, often performed better than the more general models. Examination of the individual models showed that risk factors had different degrees of predictability across the different specialties. Implementation of optimal modeling strategies would lead to capturing an additional 4819 no-shows per-year. Conclusion: Overall, this work highlights both the opportunity for and the importance of leveraging the available electronic health record data to develop more refined risk models.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalNo-Show PatientsAmbulatory CareElectronic Health RecordsHumansMedicineOffice VisitsRiskRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID29444283
PMCPMC6077778
OpenAlexW2793526893

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.