Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29439705›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2018

Chronic morbidity, deprivation and primary medical care spending in England in 2015-16: a cross-sectional spatial analysis.

Evangelos Kontopantelis, Mamas A Mamas, Harm van Marwijk, Andrew M Ryan, Peter Bower, Bruce Guthrie, Tim Doran

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Observational
  3. Deprivation scores and NHS practice payment trends in England 2018-2019 to 2023-2024:a multivariable analysis.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2026
    Article
  4. Counting general practitioners: a comparative repeat cross-sectional analysis of GPs in NHS general practice in England.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2026
    Article
  5. Associations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with life satisfaction and self-rated health: quantifying the subjective burden in a population-based study.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Additional Roles Reimbursement Scheme uptake, patient satisfaction, and QOF achievement: an ecological study from 2020-2023.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2025
    Article
  9. Trends in clinical workload in UK primary care 2005-2019: a retrospective cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2024
    Article
  10. GP working time and supply, and patient demand in England in 2015-2022: a retrospective study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2024
    Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. How new clinical roles in primary care impact on equitable distribution of workforce: a retrospective study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2023
    Article
  15. Observational
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Observational
  20. Equity and the funding of Primary Care Networks.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Evangelos KontopantelisDivision of Population Health, Health Services Research & Primary Care; Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Greater Manchester, UK. e.kontopantelis@manchester.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-6450-5815
Mamas A MamasScience and Technology in Medicine, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK.
Harm van MarwijkDivision of Population Health, Health Services Research & Primary Care; Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Greater Manchester, UK.
Andrew M RyanSchool of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Peter BowerDivision of Population Health, Health Services Research & Primary Care; Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Greater Manchester, UK.
Bruce GuthriePopulation Health Sciences Division, School of Medicine, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK.
Tim DoranDepartment of Health Sciences, University of York, Yorkshire, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_13042Medical Research Council MR/K006665/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrimary care provides the foundation for most modern health-care systems, and in the interests of equity, it should be resourced according to local need. We aimed to describe spatially the burden of chronic conditions and primary medical care funding in England at a low geographical level, and to measure how much variation in funding is explained by chronic condition prevalence and other patient and regional factors.

methodsWe used multiple administrative data sets including chronic condition prevalence and management data (2014/15), funding for primary-care practices (2015-16), and geographical and area deprivation data (2015). Data were assigned to a low geographical level (average 1500 residents). We investigated the overall morbidity burden across 19 chronic conditions and its regional variation, spatial clustering and association with funding and area deprivation. A linear regression model was used to explain local variation in spending using patient demographics, morbidity, deprivation and regional characteristics.

resultsLevels of morbidity varied within and between regions, with several clusters of very high morbidity identified. At the regional level, morbidity was modestly associated with practice funding, with the North East and North West appearing underfunded. The regression model explained 39% of the variability in practice funding, but even after adjusting for covariates, a large amount of variability in funding existed across regions. High morbidity and, especially, rural location were very strongly associated with higher practice funding, while associations were more modest for high deprivation and older age.

conclusionsPrimary care funding in England does not adequately reflect the contemporary morbidity burden. More equitable resource allocation could be achieved by making better use of routinely available information and big data resources. Similar methods could be deployed in other countries where comparable data are collected, to identify morbidity clusters and to target funding to areas of greater need.

Indexed as

AgedChronic DiseaseCross-Sectional StudiesDelivery of Health CareEnglandFemaleHistory, 21st CenturyHumansMaleMorbidityPrimary Health CareCarr–Hill formulaChronic conditionsDeprivationEnglandGlobal sum allocation formulaMorbidityPrimary care fundingQOFQuality and Outcomes FrameworkSpatial clusteringUK

Identifiers

PMID29439705
PMCPMC5812046

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.