Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29439684›Full record

Observational studyBMC health services research2018

Prediction of post-acute care demand in medical and neurological inpatients: diagnostic assessment of the post-acute discharge score - a prospective cohort study.

Antoinette Conca, Angela Gabele, Barbara Reutlinger, Philipp Schuetz, Alexander Kutz, Sebastian Haubitz, Lukas Faessler, Marcus Batschwaroff, Ursula Schild, Zeljka Caldara and 13 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC health services research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01768494 (Optimizing Triage and Hospitalisation In Adult General Medical Emergency Patients), which is not on this map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01768494 completednot on this map

Optimizing Triage and Hospitalisation In Adult General Medical Emergency Patients: the TRIAGE Study

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity Hospital, Basel, SwitzerlandRan2013 to 2014Enrolled7,000ConditionsEmergencies
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Antoinette ConcaDepartment of Clinical Nursing Science, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland. antoinette.conca@ksa.ch.
Angela GabeleDepartment of Clinical Nursing Science, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Barbara ReutlingerDepartment of Clinical Nursing Science, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Philipp SchuetzUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Alexander KutzUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Sebastian HaubitzDivision of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Lukas FaesslerUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Marcus BatschwaroffUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Ursula SchildUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Zeljka CaldaraUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Katharina RegezUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Susanne SchirloUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Gabi VosslerUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Timo KahlesDepartment for Neurology, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Krassen NedeltchevDepartment for Neurology, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Anja KellerDepartment of Social Services, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Andreas HuberDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Sabina De GeestInstitute of Nursing Science, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Ulrich BuergiEmergency Department, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Petra TobiasEmergency Department, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Martine Louis SimonetService of General Internal Medicine, University Hospitals Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Beat MuellerUniversity Department of Internal Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Petra Schäfer-KellerUniversity of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland - School of Health Sciences Fribourg - HEdS-FR / HES-SO, Fribourg, Switzerland.
Kantonsspital Aarau · CHHES-SO Fribourg · CHUniversity Hospital of Geneva · CHUniversity of Basel · CHUniversity of Bern · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly identification of patients requiring transfer to post-acute care (PAC) facilities shortens hospital stays. With a focus on interprofessional assessment of biopsychosocial risk, this study's aim was to assess medical and neurological patients' post-acute care discharge (PACD) scores on days 1 and 3 after hospital admission regarding diagnostic accuracy and effectiveness as an early screening tool. The transfer to PAC facilities served as the outcome ("gold standard").

methodsIn this prospective cohort study, registered at ClinicalTrial.gov (NCT01768494) on January 2013, 1432 medical and 464 neurological patients (total n = 1896) were included consecutively between February and October 2013. PACD scores and other relevant data were extracted from electronic records of patient admissions, hospital stays, and interviews at day 30 post-hospital admission. To gauge the scores' accuracy, we plotted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calculated area under the curve (AUC), and determined sensitivity and specificity at various cut-off levels.

resultsMedical patients' day 1 and day 3 PACD scores accurately predicted discharge to PAC facilities, with respective discriminating powers (AUC) of 0.77 and 0.82. With a PACD cut-off of ≥8 points, day 1 and 3 sensitivities were respectively 72.6% and 83.6%, with respective specificities of 66.5% and 70.0%. Neurological patients' scores showed lower accuracy both days: using the same cut-off, respective day 1 and day 3 AUCs were 0.68 and 0.78, sensitivities 41.4% and 68.7% and specificities 81.4% and 83.4%.

conclusionPACD scores at days 1 and 3 accurately predicted transfer to PAC facilities, especially in medical patients on day 3. To confirm and refine these results, PACD scores' value to guide discharge planning interventions and subsequent impact on hospital stay warrants further investigation.

trial registrationClinialTrials.gov Identifier, NCT01768494 .

Indexed as

Health Services Needs and DemandInpatientsNervous System DiseasesSubacute CareAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPatient DischargeProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentROC CurveDiagnostic accuracyDischarge planningPost-acute care discharge scorePost-acute care facilitiesScreening toolSocial worker referral

Identifiers

PMID29439684
PMCPMC5812184
OpenAlexW2794764868

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.