Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29438959›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2018

Retrospective analysis of the national impact of industrial action by English junior doctors in 2016.

Daniel Furnivall, Alex Bottle, Paul Aylin

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In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Daniel FurnivallDr Foster Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Alex BottleDr Foster Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9978-2011
Paul AylinDr Foster Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4589-1743

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo examine the impacts of the four episodes of industrial action by English junior doctors in early 2016.

designDescriptive retrospective study of admitted patient care, accident and emergency (A&E) and outpatient activity in English hospitals.

settingAll hospitals across England.

participantsAll patients who attended A&E or outpatient appointments or those who were admitted to hospital during the 3-week period surrounding each of the four strikes (12 January, 10 February, 9-10 March and 26-27 April, excluding weekends).

main outcome measuresRaw numbers and percentage changes of outpatient appointments and cancellations, A&E visits, admitted patients and all inhospital mortality on strike days compared with patient activity on the same weekday in the weeks before and after the strikes.

resultsThere were 3.4 million admissions, 27 million outpatient appointments and 3.4 million A&E attendances over the four 3-week periods analysed. Across the four strikes, there were 31 651 fewer admissions (-9.1%), 23 895 fewer A&E attendances (-6.8%) and 173 462 fewer outpatient appointments (-6.0%) than expected. Additionally, 101 109 more outpatient appointments were cancelled by hospitals than expected (+52%). The 26-27 April strike, where emergency services were also affected, showed the largest impacts on regular service. Mortality did not measurably increase on strike days. Regional analysis showed that services in the Yorkshire and the Humber region were disproportionately more affected by the industrial action.

conclusionsIndustrial action by junior doctors during early 2016 caused a significant impact on the provision of healthcare provided by English hospitals. We also observed regional variations in how these strikes affected providers.

Indexed as

Delivery of Health CareHospitalsMedical Staff, HospitalPhysiciansStrikes, EmployeeAmbulatory CareAppointments and SchedulesEmergency Medical ServicesEmergency Service, HospitalEnglandHospitalizationHospital MortalityHumansRetrospective Studiesindustrial actionjunior doctorsnhsoutpatientstrikes

Identifiers

PMID29438959
PMCPMC5855458

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.