Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29437586›Full record

ArticleAnnals of the rheumatic diseases2018

Baseline ultrasound examination as possible predictor of relapse in patients affected by juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).

Orazio De Lucia, Viviana Ravagnani, Francesca Pregnolato, Arvena Hila, Irene Pontikaki, Maurizio Gattinara, Micol Romano, Valeria Gerloni, Sara Pieropan, Antonella Murgo and 3 more

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Article in Annals of the rheumatic diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 65 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. [Rheumatic shoulder joints in childhood].Zeitschrift fur Rheumatologie · 2025
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  12. Sonographic and Disease Activity Findings Related With Medication Change in JIA: A Historical Cohort Study.Journal of clinical rheumatology : practical reports on rheumatic & musculoskeletal diseases · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Orazio De LuciaDepartment of Rheumatology, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Viviana RavagnaniDepartment of Internal Medicine, ASST Mantova Ospedale C Poma, Mantua, Italy.
Francesca PregnolatoImmunorheumatology Research Laboratory, Istituto Auxologico Italiano, Milan, Italy.
Arvena HilaDepartment of Rheumatology, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Irene PontikakiDepartment of Rheumatology, Pediatric Rheumatology Unit, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Maurizio GattinaraDepartment of Rheumatology, Pediatric Rheumatology Unit, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Micol RomanoDepartment of Rheumatology, Pediatric Rheumatology Unit, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Valeria GerloniDepartment of Rheumatology, Pediatric Rheumatology Unit, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Sara PieropanRheumatology Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria di Verona, Verona, Italy.
Antonella MurgoDepartment of Rheumatology, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Maurizio RossiniRheumatology Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria di Verona, Verona, Italy.
Rolando Cimaz *Department of Pediatric Rheumatology, Ospedale Meyer, Florence, Italy.
Pier Luigi Meroni *Department of Rheumatology, ASST Centro Traumatologico Ortopedico G Pini-CTO, Milan, Italy.
Istituto Ortopedico Gaetano Pini · ITAzienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata Verona · ITAzienda Ospedaliera Carlo Poma · ITIRCCS Istituto Auxologico Italiano · ITMeyer Children's Hospital · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo define the correlation between joint ultrasonography and clinical examination in patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and to assess whether synovitis detected by ultrasonography in clinically inactive patients predicts arthritis flares.

methods88 consecutive patients with JIA-46 (52%) with persistent oligoarthritis, 15 (17%) with extended oligoarthritis, 15 (17%) with rheumatoid factor-negative polyarthritis and 12 (14%) with other forms of JIA, all clinically inactive for a minimum of 3 months-underwent ultrasound (US) assessment of 44 joints. Joints were scanned at study entry for synovial hyperplasia, joint effusion and power Doppler (PD) signal. Patients were followed clinically for 4 years.

resultsUS was abnormal in 20/88 (22.7%) patients and in 38/3872 (0.98%) joints. Extended oligoarthritis and rheumatoid factor-negative polyarthritis were more frequent in US-positive than in US-negative patients (35.0% vs 11.8% and 30.0% vs 13.2%, respectively; P=0.005). During 4 years of follow-up, 41/88 (46.6%) patients displayed a flare; 26/68 (38.2%) were US-negative and 15/20 (75%) were US-positive at baseline. Abnormality on US examination, after correction for therapy modification, significantly increased the risk of flare (OR=3.8, 95% CI 1.2 to 11.5). The combination of grey scale and PD abnormalities displayed a much higher predictive value of relapse (65%, 13/20) than grey scale alone (33%, 6/18).

conclusionsUS abnormalities are a strong predictor of relapse at individual patient level. Irrespective of treatment, the risk of flare in US-positive versus US-negative patients was almost four times higher. In case of US abnormalities, patients should be carefully followed regardless of both the International League of Associations for Rheumatology and Wallace categories.

Indexed as

ArthritisArthritis, JuvenileChildFemaleHumansMalePhysical ExaminationPredictive Value of TestsRecurrenceSymptom Flare UpSynovial MembraneSynovitisUltrasonography, Dopplerarticularflareidiopathic arthritisjuvenilemusculoskeletal ultrasoundpower doppler ultrasoundremission

Identifiers

PMID29437586
OpenAlexW2785537438

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.