ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2018
Global rise in emerging alien species results from increased accessibility of new source pools.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 120 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
120 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Global ecological impacts of marine exotic species.Nature ecology & evolution · 2019Pooled it
- Limited global awareness of invasive alien species and little support for their management.iScience · 2026Article
- Potential Distribution of Invasive Insect Ferrisia virgata (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) Under Climate Change with Implications for Management.Neotropical entomology · 2026Article
- Discrete-time exploitative competition model of different stage-specific predators.Journal of mathematical biology · 2026Article
- Projecting future damage costs of non-native species using combined dynamical and cost-density equations.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Evaluation of a car-based method for detecting the invasive Lupinus polyphyllus Lindl in road infrastructure.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Climate-Driven Prediction of the Future Distribution ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- From Traps to Taxa: Building a Robust DNA Barcode Reference Library for the Early Detection of Invasive Cerambycidae.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Differences in Prokaryotic Community Composition Between Two Climatically Contrasting Years in an Arctic Fjord Ecosystem.Environmental microbiology reports · 2026Article
- Article
- Global functional shifts in trees driven by alien naturalization and native extinction.Nature plants · 2026Article
- Overcoming barriers to build partnerships for managing plant invasions under global change.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026Article
- The Invasive Nearctic PestInsects · 2026Article
- Climatic niche conservatism in non-native plants depends on introduction history and biogeographic context.Nature communications · 2026Article
- The cumulative consequences of multispecies invasions and the great shuffle of biodiversity.Bioscience · 2026Review
- Article
- Genomic Data Reveal Multiple Introduction Sources and Limited Post-Colonization Gene Flow in Southeast Michigan Invasive Red Swamp Crayfish (Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Trait-mediated filtering of Phytophthora pathogen invasions through global horticultural trade networks.The New phytologist · 2025Article
- The Cyprus Database of Alien Species (CyDAS).Scientific data · 2025Article
- Non-Native Plants Attain Native Levels of Microherbivory Richness With Time and Range Expansion.Ecology letters · 2025Article
60 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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50 authors.
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Abstract
Our ability to predict the identity of future invasive alien species is largely based upon knowledge of prior invasion history. Emerging alien species-those never encountered as aliens before-therefore pose a significant challenge to biosecurity interventions worldwide. Understanding their temporal trends, origins, and the drivers of their spread is pivotal to improving prevention and risk assessment tools. Here, we use a database of 45,984 first records of 16,019 established alien species to investigate the temporal dynamics of occurrences of emerging alien species worldwide. Even after many centuries of invasions the rate of emergence of new alien species is still high: One-quarter of first records during 2000-2005 were of species that had not been previously recorded anywhere as alien, though with large variation across taxa. Model results show that the high proportion of emerging alien species cannot be solely explained by increases in well-known drivers such as the amount of imported commodities from historically important source regions. Instead, these dynamics reflect the incorporation of new regions into the pool of potential alien species, likely as a consequence of expanding trade networks and environmental change. This process compensates for the depletion of the historically important source species pool through successive invasions. We estimate that 1-16% of all species on Earth, depending on the taxonomic group, qualify as potential alien species. These results suggest that there remains a high proportion of emerging alien species we have yet to encounter, with future impacts that are difficult to predict.
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