Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29426306›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2018

Characteristics of people living in Italy after a cancer diagnosis in 2010 and projections to 2020.

Stefano Guzzinati, Saverio Virdone, Roberta De Angelis, Chiara Panato, Carlotta Buzzoni, Riccardo Capocaccia, Silvia Francisci, Anna Gigli, Manuel Zorzi, Giovanna Tagliabue and 28 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Potential for Cure by Stage across the Cancer Spectrum in the United States.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
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  15. Future care for long-term cancer survivors: towards a new model.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

38 authors.

Stefano GuzzinatiVeneto Tumor Registry, Veneto Region, Padova, Passaggio Gaudenzio 1, 35131, Padova, Italy. stefano.guzzinati@regione.veneto.it.
Saverio VirdoneCancer Epidemiology Unit, CRO Aviano National Cancer Institute IRCCS, Via Franco Gallini 2, 33081, Aviano, PN, Italy.
Roberta De AngelisIstituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS), Rome, Italy.
Chiara PanatoCancer Epidemiology Unit, CRO Aviano National Cancer Institute IRCCS, Via Franco Gallini 2, 33081, Aviano, PN, Italy.
Carlotta BuzzoniTuscany Cancer Registry, Clinical and Descriptive Epidemiology Unit, Cancer Prevention and Research Institute (ISPO), Florence, Italy.
Riccardo CapocacciaDipartimento di Ricerca Epidemiologica e Medicina Molecolare (DREaMM), Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Silvia FrancisciIstituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS), Rome, Italy.
Anna GigliInstitute for Research on Population and Social Policies, National Research Council, Rome, Italy.
Manuel ZorziVeneto Tumor Registry, Veneto Region, Padova, Passaggio Gaudenzio 1, 35131, Padova, Italy.
Giovanna TagliabueLombardy Cancer Registry, Varese Province, Cancer Registry Unit, Department of Research, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Diego SerrainoCancer Epidemiology Unit, CRO Aviano National Cancer Institute IRCCS, Via Franco Gallini 2, 33081, Aviano, PN, Italy.
Fabio FalciniRomagna Cancer Registry, Istituto Scientifico Romagnolo per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori (IRST) IRCCS, Meldola (Forlì), Italy-Azienda Usl della Romagna, Forlì, Italy.
Claudia CasellaRegistro Tumori Ligure, Epidemiologia Clinica, Ospedale Policlinico San Martino IRCCS, Genova, Italy.
Antonio Giampiero RussoCancer Registry of Milan, Epidemiology Unit, Agency for Health Protection of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Fabrizio StracciPublic Health Section, Department of Experimental Medicine, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy.
Bianca CarusoModena Cancer Registry, Public Health Department, AUSL Modena, Modena, Italy.
Maria MichiaraParma Cancer Registry, Oncology Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria di Parma, Parma, Italy.
Anna Luisa CaiazzoCancer Registry of Salerno Province, Salerno, Italy.
Marine CastaingRegistro Tumori Integrato Catania-Messina-Siracusa-Enna, Università degli Studi di Catania, Catania, Italy.
Stefano FerrettiFerrara Cancer Registry, Ferrara Local Health Board, University of Ferrara, USL Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy.
Lucia MangoneReggio Emilia Cancer Registry, Epidemiology unit, AUSL ASMN-IRCCS, Azienda USL di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Giuseppa RudisiPalermo and Province Cancer Registry, Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Policlinico "Paolo Giaccone", Palermo, Italy.
Flavio SensiNorth Sardinia Cancer Registry, Azienda Regionale per la Tutela della Salute, Sassari, Italy.
Guido MazzoleniSudtyrol Cancer Registry, Bolzano, Italy.
Fabio PannozzoCancer Registry of Latina Province, AUSL Latina, Latina, Italy.
Rosario TuminoCancer Registry ASP Ragusa, Ragusa, Italy.
Mario FuscoCancer Registry of ASL Napoli 3 Sud, Napoli, Italy.
Paolo RicciMantova Cancer Registry, Epidemilogy Unit, Agenzia di Tutela della Salute (ATS) della Val Padana, Mantova, Italy.
Gemma GolaComo Cancer Registry, ATS Insubria, Varese, Italy.
Adriano GiacominRegistro Tumori Piemonte, Provincia di Biella CPO, Biella, Italy.
Francesco TisanoCancer Registry of of the Province of Siracusa, Local Health Unit of Siracusa, Siracusa, Italy.
Giuseppa CandelaTrapani Cancer Registry, Dipartimento di Prevenzione della Salute, Trapani, Italy.
Anna Clara FanettiSondrio Cancer Registry, Health Protection Agency, Sondrio, Italy.
Filomena PalaNuoro Cancer Registry, RT Nuoro, ASSL Nuoro/ATS Sardegna, Nuoro, Italy.
Antonella Sutera SardoCatanzaro Cancer Registry, Azienda Sanitaria 7, Catanzaro, Italy.
Massimo RuggeVeneto Tumor Registry, Veneto Region, Padova, Passaggio Gaudenzio 1, 35131, Padova, Italy.
Laura BottaDipartimento di Ricerca Epidemiologica e Medicina Molecolare (DREaMM), Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Luigino Dal MasoCancer Epidemiology Unit, CRO Aviano National Cancer Institute IRCCS, Via Franco Gallini 2, 33081, Aviano, PN, Italy. dalmaso@cro.it.

Funding

Italian Association for Cancer Research (AIRC) grant no. 16921
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEstimates of cancer prevalence are widely based on limited duration, often including patients living after a cancer diagnosis made in the previous 5 years and less frequently on complete prevalence (i.e., including all patients regardless of the time elapsed since diagnosis). This study aims to provide estimates of complete cancer prevalence in Italy by sex, age, and time since diagnosis for all cancers combined, and for selected cancer types. Projections were made up to 2020, overall and by time since diagnosis.

methodsData were from 27 Italian population-based cancer registries, covering 32% of the Italian population, able to provide at least 7 years of registration as of December 2009 and follow-up of vital status as of December 2013. The data were used to compute the limited-duration prevalence, in order to estimate the complete prevalence by means of the COMPREV software.

resultsIn 2010, 2,637,975 persons were estimated to live in Italy after a cancer diagnosis, 1.2 million men and 1.4 million women, or 4.6% of the Italian population. A quarter of male prevalent cases had prostate cancer (n = 305,044), while 42% of prevalent women had breast cancer (n = 604,841). More than 1.5 million people (2.7% of Italians) were alive since 5 or more years after diagnosis and 20% since ≥15 years. It is projected that, in 2020 in Italy, there will be 3.6 million prevalent cancer cases (+ 37% vs 2010). The largest 10-year increases are foreseen for prostate (+ 85%) and for thyroid cancers (+ 79%), and for long-term survivors diagnosed since 20 or more years (+ 45%). Among the population aged ≥75 years, 22% will have had a previous cancer diagnosis.

conclusionsThe number of persons living after a cancer diagnosis is estimated to rise of approximately 3% per year in Italy. The availability of detailed estimates and projections of the complete prevalence are intended to help the implementation of guidelines aimed to enhance the long-term follow-up of cancer survivors and to contribute their rehabilitation needs.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolFemaleForecastingHumansInfantInfant, NewbornItalyMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsCancer prevalenceItalyProjectionsSurvivors

Identifiers

PMID29426306
PMCPMC5807846

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.