Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29425931›Full record

SynthesisGastroenterology2018

Surveillance Imaging and Alpha Fetoprotein for Early Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Cirrhosis: A Meta-analysis.

Kristina Tzartzeva, Joseph Obi, Nicole E Rich, Neehar D Parikh, Jorge A Marrero, Adam Yopp, Akbar K Waljee, Amit G Singal

4 registry-linked trialsAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Gastroenterology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 4 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 707 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
707citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04455932 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

HCC Surveillance: Comparison of Abbreviated Non-contrast MRI and Ultrasound Surveillance in Cirrhotic Patients With Suboptimal Ultrasound Visualisation

TypeinterventionalSponsorConcord Repatriation General HospitalRan2022 to 2027Enrolled476ConditionsHepatocellular Carcinoma, HCCArmsAbbreviated non-contrast MRI of the liver, Ultrasound surveillance, Multiphase contrast-enhanced liver MRI
NCT05716620 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Utility of Abbreviated Magnetic Resonance Imaging as a Screening Tool for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Cirrhotic Patients

TypeobservationalSponsorPost Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, ChandigarhRan2022 to 2025Enrolled380ConditionsHepatocellular CarcinomaArmsMRI
NCT07010588 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Comparison of ultraSound, Abbreviated MRI witH and Without HBP aS mOdalities for HCC suRveillance in patienTs With High Risk: a Multi-centers, Randomized Controlled Open-label Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorPeking University People's HospitalRan2025 to 2030Enrolled1,389ConditionsHepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC), Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI), Randomized Controlled TrialArmsnon-contrast abbreviated MRI (NC-AMRI), enhanced abbreviated MRI (E-AMRI)
NCT07319299 naenrolling by invitationnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

A Prospective, Interventional, Longitudinal APAC Study Evaluating Clinical Utility of GAAD Score for Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a High-risk APAC Patient Population

TypeinterventionalSponsorMahidol UniversityRan2025 to 2027Enrolled2,100ConditionsHepatecellular Carcinoma, Cirrhosis, HBV InfectionArmsGAAD score
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

707 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Guideline
  5. Pooled it
  6. Prevention, surveillance, and early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma - a Brazilian multidisciplinary consensus.Arquivos brasileiros de cirurgia digestiva : ABCD = Brazilian archives of digestive surgery · 2026
    Guideline
  7. Pooled it
  8. Pooled it
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Glypican-3-targeted bioconjugates for hepatocellular carcinoma: design, engineering, and translational applications.Medicinal chemistry research : an international journal for rapid communications on design and mechanisms of action of biologically active agents · 2026
    Review
  16. Observational
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article

647 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Kristina TzartzevaDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.
Joseph ObiDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.
Nicole E RichDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.
Neehar D ParikhDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Jorge A MarreroDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.
Adam YoppDepartment of Surgery, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.
Akbar K WaljeeDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; VA Center for Clinical Management Research, VA Ann Arbor Health Care System, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Amit G SingalDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas; Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas. Electronic address: amit.singal@utsouthwestern.edu.

Funding

UT GASTROENTEROLOGY/HEPATOLOGY RESEARCH TRAINING PROGRAMT32DK007745 · NIDDK · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI Rodney E Infante · 1997 to 2026
$6.8M
Precision Risk Stratification and Screening for HCC among Patients with Cirrhosis in the United StatesU01CA230694 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
Harms of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Patients with CirrhosisR01CA212008 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2017 to 2022
$3.2M
Precision Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with CirrhosisR01CA222900 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2023
$2.4M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA212008NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222900NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230694NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007745
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsSociety guidelines differ in their recommendations for surveillance to detect early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with cirrhosis. We compared the performance of surveillance imaging, with or without alpha fetoprotein (AFP), for early detection of HCC in patients with cirrhosis.

methodsTwo reviewers searched MEDLINE and SCOPUS from January 1990 through August 2016 to identify published sensitivity and specificity of surveillance strategies for overall and early detection of HCC. Pooled estimates were calculated and compared using the DerSimonian and Laird method for a random effects model. The study was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis guidelines.

resultsThirty-two studies (comprising 13,367 patients) characterized sensitivity of imaging with or without AFP measurement for detection of HCC in patients with cirrhosis. Ultrasound detected any stage HCC with 84% sensitivity (95% confidence interval [CI] 76%-92%), but early-stage HCC with only 47% sensitivity (95% CI 33%-61%). In studies comparing ultrasound with vs without AFP measurement, ultrasound detected any stage HCC with a lower level of sensitivity than ultrasound plus AFP measurement (relative risk [RR] 0.88; 95% CI 0.83-0.93) and early-stage HCC with a lower level of sensitivity than ultrasound plus AFP measurement (RR 0.81; 95% CI 0.71-0.93). However, ultrasound alone detected HCC with a higher level of specificity than ultrasound plus AFP measurement (RR 1.08; 95% CI 1.05-1.09). Ultrasound with vs without AFP detected early-stage HCC with 63% sensitivity (95% CI 48%-75%) and 45% sensitivity (95% CI 30%-62%), respectively (P = .002). Only 4 studies evaluated computed tomography or magnetic resonance image-based surveillance, which detected HCC with 84% sensitivity (95% CI 70%-92%).

conclusionsWe found ultrasound alone has a low sensitivity to detect early stage HCC in patients with cirrhosis. Addition of AFP to ultrasound significantly increases sensitivity of early HCC detection in clinical practice.

Indexed as

AdultAgedalpha-FetoproteinsCarcinoma, HepatocellularEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansLiver CirrhosisLiver NeoplasmsMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedSensitivity and SpecificityTomography, X-Ray ComputedUltrasonographyalpha-FetoproteinsAlpha FetoproteinLiver CancerScreeningUltrasound

Identifiers

PMID29425931
PMCPMC5927818

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.