Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29405575›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2018

Epidemiology of seasonal influenza in the Middle East and North Africa regions, 2010-2016: Circulating influenza A and B viruses and spatial timing of epidemics.

Saverio Caini, Clotilde El-Guerche Séblain, Meral A Ciblak, John Paget

Abstract read
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Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.

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37citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Saverio CainiNetherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-2262-1102
Clotilde El-Guerche SéblainGlobal Health Economics and Outcomes Research (HEOR) Influenza Lead, Sanofi Pasteur, Lyon, France.
Meral A CiblakRegional Influenza Expert, Africa/Eurasia and Middle East region, Sanofi Pasteur, Istanbul, Turkey.
John PagetNetherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1503-2481

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is a limited knowledge regarding the epidemiology of influenza in Middle East and North Africa.

objectivesWe described the patterns of influenza circulation and the timing of seasonal epidemics in countries of Middle East and North Africa.

methodsWe used virological surveillance data for 2010-2016 from the WHO FluNet database. In each country, we calculated the median proportion of cases that were caused by each virus type and subtype; determined the timing and amplitude of the primary and secondary peaks; and used linear regression models to test for spatial trends in the timing of epidemics.

resultsWe included 70 532 influenza cases from seventeen countries. Influenza A and B accounted for a median 76.5% and 23.5% of cases in a season and were the dominant type in 86.8% and 13.2% of seasons. The proportion of influenza A cases that were subtyped was 85.9%, while only 4.4% of influenza B cases were characterized. For most countries, influenza seasonality was similar to the Northern Hemisphere, with a single large peak between January and March; exceptions were the countries in the Arabian Peninsula and Jordan, all of which showed clear secondary peaks, and some countries had an earlier primary peak (in November-December in Bahrain and Qatar). The direction of the timing of influenza activity was east to west and south to north in 2012-2013 and 2015-2016, and west to east in 2014-2015.

conclusionsThe epidemiology of influenza is generally uniform in countries of Middle East and North Africa, with influenza B playing an important role in the seasonal disease burden.

Indexed as

SeasonsSpatial AnalysisAfrica, NorthernEpidemicsHumansInfluenza A virusInfluenza B virusInfluenza, HumanMiddle EastTime Factorsinfluenza type Ainfluenza type BMiddle EastNorth Africatiming of epidemics

Identifiers

PMID29405575
PMCPMC5907816

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.