Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29394305›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2018

Hemoglobin A1c Level and Cardiovascular Disease Incidence in Persons With Type 1 Diabetes: An Application of Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data in the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications Study.

Rachel G Miller, Stewart J Anderson, Tina Costacou, Akira Sekikawa, Trevor J Orchard

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. Observational
  9. Article
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  15. Article
  16. The Evolution of Hemoglobin ADiabetes care · 2021
    Review
  17. Observational
  18. Observational
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Rachel G MillerDepartment of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Stewart J AndersonDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Tina CostacouDepartment of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Akira SekikawaDepartment of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Trevor J OrchardDepartment of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Funding

RESEARCH METHODS COREP30MH090333 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REYNOLDS, CHARLES F · 2011 to 2015
$8.3M
Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) Phase II: renewalR37DK034818 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI ORCHARD, TREVOR J. · 2009 to 2018
$6.5M
EPIDEMIOLOGY OF DIABETIC COMPLICATIONS--PHASE IIR01DK034818 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI COSTACOU, TINA · 1986 to 2019
$5.6M
NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK034818NIDDK NIH HHS R37 DK034818NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH090333
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), but hyperglycemia (measured by hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level), which characterizes T1D, has itself been an inconsistent predictor of CVD incidence. However, only baseline HbA1c or a summary measure (e.g., mean level over follow-up) is usually analyzed. Joint models allow simultaneous modeling of repeatedly measured longitudinal covariates, using random effects, and time-to-event data. We evaluated data from the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications Study, an ongoing prospective cohort study of childhood-onset T1D that has followed participants since 1986-1988 and has repeatedly found little association between baseline HbA1c or mean follow-up HbA1c and coronary artery disease incidence. Of 561 participants without CVD at baseline, 263 (46.9%) developed CVD over a period of 25 years (1986-2014). In joint models, each 1% unit increase in HbA1c trajectory was associated with a 1.26-fold increased risk of CVD (95% confidence interval: 1.07, 1.45), after adjustment for baseline levels of other CVD risk factors, and a 1.13-fold increased risk (95% confidence interval: 0.99, 1.32) after adjustment for updated mean levels of other CVD risk factors. These findings, which support the need for good glycemic control to prevent CVD in persons with T1D, underscore the importance of utilizing methods incorporating within-subject variation over time when analyzing and interpreting longitudinal cohort study data.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalTime FactorsAdultCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1FemaleGlycated HemoglobinHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMalePennsylvaniaProspective StudiesRisk FactorsGlycated Hemoglobinhemoglobin A1c protein, human

Identifiers

PMID29394305
PMCPMC6030923

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.