Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29377316›Full record

ArticleAddiction (Abingdon, England)2018

A utility of model input uncertainty analysis in transferring tobacco control-related economic evidence to countries with scarce resources: results from the EQUIPT study.

Bertalan Németh, Puttarin Kulchaitanaroaj, Adam Lester-George, Mirjana Huic, Kathryn Coyle, Doug Coyle, Subhash Pokhrel, Zoltán Kaló

Abstract read
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Article in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. An analysis of spatial and temporal uncertainty propagation in agent-based models.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Bertalan NémethSyreon Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary.
Puttarin KulchaitanaroajHealth Economics Research Group, Institute of Environment, Health and Society, Brunel University London, UK.
Adam Lester-GeorgeLeLan Solutions Ltd, Bristol, UK.
Mirjana HuicAgency for Quality and Accreditation in Health Care and Social Welfare, Zagreb, Croatia.
Kathryn CoyleHealth Economics Research Group, Institute of Environment, Health and Society, Brunel University London, UK.
Doug CoyleHealth Economics Research Group, Institute of Environment, Health and Society, Brunel University London, UK.
Subhash PokhrelHealth Economics Research Group, Institute of Environment, Health and Society, Brunel University London, UK.
Zoltán KalóSyreon Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo inform the transferability of tobacco control-related economic evidence to resource-poor countries.

methodsWe ran a univariate sensitivity analysis on a return on investment (ROI) model, the European study on Quantifying Utility of Investment in Protection from Tobacco model (EQUIPTMOD), to identify key input values to which the ROI estimates were sensitive. The EQUIPTMOD used a Markov-based state transition model to estimate the ROI of several tobacco control interventions in five European countries (England, Germany, Spain, Hungary and the Netherlands). Base case ROI estimates were obtained through average values of model inputs (throughout the five countries), which were then replaced one at a time with country-specific values. Tornado diagrams were used to evaluate the significance of sensitivity, defined as a ≥ 10% difference in ROI estimates from the base case estimates.

resultsThe ROI estimates were sensitive to 18 (of 46) input values. Examples of model inputs to which ROI estimates were sensitive included: smoking rate, costs of smoking-related diseases (e.g. lung cancer) and general population attributes.

conclusionCountries that have limited research time and other resources can adapt EQUIPTMOD to their own settings by choosing to collect data on a small number of model inputs. EQUIPTMOD can therefore facilitate transfer of tobacco control related economic evidence to new jurisdictions.

Indexed as

Developing CountriesModels, EconomicUncertaintyCost-Benefit AnalysisEuropeHumansTobacco ProductsEconomic modelimportance analysisreturn-on-investment toolsmoking cessationtransferabilityvariability

Identifiers

PMID29377316
PMCPMC6033140

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.