ArticleMalaria journal2018
Modelling and observing the role of wind in Anopheles population dynamics around a reservoir.
Article in Malaria journal, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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14 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Climate-driven models reveal temporal trends in Aedes breeding: implications for outbreak preparedness and control interventions.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal patterns and climate-induced macroeconomic burden of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria and climate influence on its incidence in Condorcanqui Province, 2005-2022.Malaria journal · 2024Article
- Waning success: a 2013-2022 spatial and temporal trend analysis of malaria in Ethiopia.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2024Article
- The Impact of Climatic Factors on Temporal Mosquito Distribution and Population Dynamics in an Area Targeted for Sterile Insect Technique Pilot Trials.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- Hotspots and super-spreaders: Modelling fine-scale malaria parasite transmission using mosquito flight behaviour.PLoS pathogens · 2022Article
- Time-Varying Effects of Meteorological Variables on Malaria Epidemiology in the Context of Interrupted Control Efforts in the Amazon Rainforest, 2000-2017.Frontiers in medicine · 2021Article
- Modeling an association between malaria cases and climate variables for Keonjhar district of Odisha, India: a Bayesian approach.Journal of parasitic diseases : official organ of the Indian Society for Parasitology · 2020Article
- The development and evaluation of a self-marking unit to estimate malaria vector survival and dispersal distance.Malaria journal · 2019Article
- Malaria around large dams in Africa: effect of environmental and transmission endemicity factors.Malaria journal · 2019Article
- Environmental Determinants of Malaria Transmission Around the Koka Reservoir in Ethiopia.GeoHealth · 2018Article
- Can water-level management reduce malaria mosquito abundance around large dams in sub-Saharan Africa?PloS one · 2018Article
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Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundWind conditions, as well as other environmental conditions, are likely to influence malaria transmission through the behaviours of Anopheles mosquitoes, especially around water-resource reservoirs. Wind-induced waves in a reservoir impose mortality on aquatic-stage mosquitoes. Mosquitoes' host-seeking activity is also influenced by wind through dispersion of [Formula: see text]. However, no malaria transmission model exists to date that simulated those impacts of wind mechanistically.
methodsA modelling framework for simulating the three important effects of wind on the behaviours of mosquito is developed: attraction of adult mosquitoes through dispersion of [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text] attraction), advection of adult mosquitoes (advection), and aquatic-stage mortality due to wind-induced surface waves (waves). The framework was incorporated in a mechanistic malaria transmission simulator, HYDREMATS. The performance of the extended simulator was compared with the observed population dynamics of the Anopheles mosquitoes at a village adjacent to the Koka Reservoir in Ethiopia.
resultsThe observed population dynamics of the Anopheles mosquitoes were reproduced with some reasonable accuracy in HYDREMATS that includes the representation of the wind effects. HYDREMATS without the wind model failed to do so. Offshore wind explained the increase in Anopheles population that cannot be expected from other environmental conditions alone.
conclusionsAround large water bodies such as reservoirs, the role of wind in the dynamics of Anopheles population, hence in malaria transmission, can be significant. Modelling the impacts of wind on the behaviours of Anopheles mosquitoes aids in reproducing the seasonality of malaria transmission and in estimation of the risk of malaria around reservoirs.
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