ArticlePloS one2018
Impacts of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill evaluated using an end-to-end ecosystem model.
Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 125 citations in OpenAlex.
- Designing an Observing System to Study the Surface Biology and Geology (SBG) of the Earth in the 2020s.Journal of geophysical research. Biogeosciences · 2023Article
- Pollution in the Arctic Ocean: An overview of multiple pressures and implications for ecosystem services.Ambio · 2022Article
- Towards integrated modeling of the long-term impacts of oil spills.Marine policy · 2021Article
- Gulf of Mexico Coastal County Resilience to Natural Hazards.Gulf and Caribbean research · 2021Article
- Biorefinery Approach for Aerogels.Polymers · 2020Review
- Long-Term Ecological Impacts from Oil Spills: Comparison ofEnvironmental science & technology · 2020Article
- Water and soil pollution as determinant of water and food quality/contamination and its impact on female fertility.Reproductive biology and endocrinology : RB&E · 2019Review
- Applying spatiotemporal models to monitoring data to quantify fish population responses to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.Environmental monitoring and assessment · 2018Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We use a spatially explicit biogeochemical end-to-end ecosystem model, Atlantis, to simulate impacts from the Deepwater Horizon oil spill and subsequent recovery of fish guilds. Dose-response relationships with expected oil concentrations were utilized to estimate the impact on fish growth and mortality rates. We also examine the effects of fisheries closures and impacts on recruitment. We validate predictions of the model by comparing population trends and age structure before and after the oil spill with fisheries independent data. The model suggests that recruitment effects and fishery closures had little influence on biomass dynamics. However, at the assumed level of oil concentrations and toxicity, impacts on fish mortality and growth rates were large and commensurate with observations. Sensitivity analysis suggests the biomass of large reef fish decreased by 25% to 50% in areas most affected by the spill, and biomass of large demersal fish decreased even more, by 40% to 70%. Impacts on reef and demersal forage caused starvation mortality in predators and increased reliance on pelagic forage. Impacts on the food web translated effects of the spill far away from the oiled area. Effects on age structure suggest possible delayed impacts on fishery yields. Recovery of high-turnover populations generally is predicted to occur within 10 years, but some slower-growing populations may take 30+ years to fully recover.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.