Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29365342›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2018

Improving estimation and prediction in linear regression incorporating external information from an established reduced model.

Wenting Cheng, Jeremy M G Taylor, Pantel S Vokonas, Sung Kyun Park, Bhramar Mukherjee

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Mediation with External Summary Statistic Information.Biostatistics (Oxford, England) · 2025
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  8. Integrating Information from Existing Risk Prediction Models with No Model Details.The Canadian journal of statistics = Revue canadienne de statistique · 2023
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  14. Synthetic data method to incorporate external information into a current study.The Canadian journal of statistics = Revue canadienne de statistique · 2019
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Informing a Risk Prediction Model for Binary Outcomes with External Coefficient Information.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Wenting ChengDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2199-1467
Jeremy M G TaylorDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Pantel S VokonasVA Normative Aging Study, Veterans Affairs Boston Health Care System, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Sung Kyun ParkDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9981-6250
Bhramar MukherjeeDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
University of Michigan · USBoston University · US

Funding

University of Michigan ERC-supplement (TRT)T42OH008455 · OH · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI NEITZEL, RICHARD L · 2005 to 2025
$32.3M
Strategic Vision & Impact on Environmental HealthP30ES017885 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Dana Dolinoy · 2011 to 2026
$21.3M
Biostatistics Training Program in Cancer ResearchT32CA083654 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani, Kelley McLain Kidwell · 2002 to 2026
$4.3M
Statistical Methods for Cancer BiomarkersR01CA129102 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI GHOSH, DEBASHIS, TAYLOR, JEREMY M.G. · 2009 to 2021
$3.3M
Efficient Design and Analytic Strategies for Enhancing the Power of Detecting G XR21ES020811 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MUKHERJEE, BHRAMAR · 2012 to 2014
$447k
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA129102NCI NIH HHS T32 CA083654NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES017885NIEHS NIH HHS R21 ES020811NIOSH CDC HHS T42 OH008455
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We consider a situation where there is rich historical data available for the coefficients and their standard errors in a linear regression model describing the association between a continuous outcome variable Y and a set of predicting factors X, from a large study. We would like to use this summary information for improving inference in an expanded model of interest, Y given X,B. The additional variable B is a new biomarker, measured on a small number of subjects in a new dataset. We formulate the problem in an inferential framework where the historical information is translated in terms of nonlinear constraints on the parameter space and propose both frequentist and Bayes solutions to this problem. We show that a Bayesian transformation approach proposed by Gunn and Dunson is a simple and effective computational method to conduct approximate Bayesian inference for this constrained parameter problem. The simulation results comparing these methods indicate that historical information on E(Y|X) can improve the efficiency of estimation and enhance the predictive power in the regression model of interest E(Y|X,B). We illustrate our methodology by enhancing a published prediction model for bone lead levels in terms of blood lead and other covariates, with a new biomarker defined through a genetic risk score.

Indexed as

Linear ModelsModels, StatisticalBayes TheoremData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansRegression AnalysisBayesian methodsconstrained estimationprediction models

Identifiers

PMID29365342
PMCPMC5889759
OpenAlexW2791840162

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.