ArticleCancer research and treatment2018
Projection of Breast Cancer Burden due to Reproductive/Lifestyle Changes in Korean Women (2013-2030) Using an Age-Period-Cohort Model.
Article in Cancer research and treatment, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.
- Long-term health consequences of central precocious/early puberty (CPP) and treatment with Gn-RH analogue: a short update.Acta bio-medica : Atenei Parmensis · 2023Pooled it
- Effect of age at first use of oral contraceptives on breast cancer risk: An updated meta-analysis.Medicine · 2019Pooled it
- Predictive performance of breast cancer polygenic risk scores from diverse ancestries: a prospective study in Japanese women.Breast cancer research : BCR · 2026Article
- Scoring System for Predicting Breast Cancer Risk Among Women in Regions with Limited Healthcare Infrastructure in Indonesia.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2026Article
- Novel Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tools for Pre- and Postmenopausal Asian Women: Development and Validation in a Nationwide Mammographic Screening Cohort.Cancer research and treatment · 2025Article
- Impact of diagnosis-to-treatment interval on mortality in patients with early-stage breast cancer: a retrospective nationwide Korean cohort.BMC women's health · 2025Article
- Triggering Breast Cancer Apoptosis via Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibition and DNA Damage by Novel Pyrimidinone and 1,2,4-Triazolo[4,3-ACS omega · 2024Article
- Development of a Breast Cancer Risk Prediction Model Incorporating Polygenic Risk Scores and Nongenetic Risk Factors for Korean Women.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023Article
- Heterogeneous trends of premature mortalities in Japan: joinpoint regression analysis of years of life lost from 2011 to 2019.Dialogues in health · 2022Article
- An ecological study of obesity-related cancer incidence trends in Australia from 1983 to 2017.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2022Article
- Impact of modifiable reproductive factors on cancer incidence and mortality in Korea: a systematic review protocol.BMJ open · 2022Article
- Article
- Forecast of a future leveling of the incidence trends of female breast cancer in Taiwan: an age-period-cohort analysis.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Forecast of peak attainment and imminent decline after 2017 of oral cancer incidence in men in Taiwan.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Evaluation of the Value of Multiplex MicroRNA Analysis as a Breast Cancer Screening in Korean Women under 50 Years of Age with a High Proportion of Dense Breasts.Journal of cancer prevention · 2021Article
- Artificial intelligence in breast ultrasonography.Ultrasonography (Seoul, Korea) · 2021Article
- Changes in Metabolic Syndrome Status and Breast Cancer Risk: A Nationwide Cohort Study.Cancers · 2021Article
- Breast Cancer Risk Prediction in Korean Women: Review and Perspectives on Personalized Breast Cancer Screening.Journal of breast cancer · 2020Review
- Breast Density of Mammography is Correlated with Reproductive Risk Factors Regardless of Menopausal Status: A Cross-Sectional Study of the Korean National Screening Program.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2020Article
- Burden of breast and gynecological cancers in Tunisia between 1990 and 2030: Trend and projection.La Tunisie medicaleArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
purposeThe aim of this study was to estimate the burden of breast cancer that can be attributed to rapid lifestyle changes in South Korea in 2013-2030. MATERIALS AND
methodsAn age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the incidence and mortality. The Global Burden of Disease Study Group methodwas used to calculate the years of life lost and years lived with disability in breast cancer patients using a nationwide cancer registry. The population attributable riskswere calculated using meta-analyzed relative risk ratios and by assessing the prevalence of risk factors.
resultsWomen's reproductive/lifestyle changes, including advanced maternal age at first childbirth (from 37 to 85 disability-adjusted life years [DALYs] per 100,000 person-years), total period of breastfeeding (from 22 to 46 DALYs per 100,000 person-years), obesity (from 37 to 61 DALYs per 100,000 person-years), alcohol consumption (from 19 to 39 DALYs per 100,000 person-years), oral contraceptive use (from 18 to 27 DALYs per 100,000 person-years), and hormone replacement therapy use (from 2 to 3 DALYs per 100,000 person-years) were identified as factors likely to increase the burden of breast cancer from 2013 to 2030. Approximately, 34.2% to 44.3% of the burden of breast cancer could be avoidable in 2030 with reduction in reproductive/lifestyle risk factors.
conclusionThe rapid changes of age structure and lifestyle in South Korea during the last decade are expected to strongly increase the breast cancer burden over time unless the risk factors can be effectively modified.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.