ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2018
Present and Future of Dengue Fever in Nepal: Mapping Climatic Suitability by Ecological Niche Model.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
40 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- A systematic review of the data, methods and environmental covariates used to map Aedes-borne arbovirus transmission risk.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Pooled it
- Projecting the future of dengue under climate change scenarios: Progress, uncertainties and research needs.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Pooled it
- Unravelling the distribution of vectors of major vector-borne diseases in Koshi Province of Nepal: A concern of expansion in diverse geo-ecological and climatic regions.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Determination of dengue high-risk areas in the Philippines: a kernel density estimation, inverse distance weighting, and ecological niche modeling.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Climate change and its impact on spatial and temporal distribution of visceral leishmaniasis transmission risk in Nepal.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Machine learning model optimization for flood susceptibility zonation over the Kosi megafan, Himalayan foreland basin, India.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A State-of-the-Science Review of Long-Term Predictions of Climate Change Impacts on Dengue Transmission Risk.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Review
- Increased thermal suitability elevates the risk of dengue transmission across the mid hills of Nepal.PloS one · 2025Article
- Spatial Analysis on Dengue Fever Vulnerability in the Provinces of South Sulawesi and East Nusa Tenggara in Indonesia.Annals of global health · 2025Article
- On people's perceptions of climate change and its impacts in a hotspot of global warming.PloS one · 2025Article
- Rapid human movement and dengue transmission in Bangladesh: a spatial and temporal analysis based on different policy measures of COVID-19 pandemic and Eid festival.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2024Article
- Molecular and Entomological Characterization of 2023 Dengue Outbreak in Dhading District, Central Nepal.Viruses · 2024Article
- Projecting temperature-related dengue burden in the Philippines under various socioeconomic pathway scenarios.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Spatial model of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) risk: scoping review.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Co-Circulation of Dengue Virus Serotypes 1, 2, and 3 during the 2022 Dengue Outbreak in Nepal: A Cross-Sectional Study.Viruses · 2023Article
- Using ecological niche modeling to predict the potential distribution of scrub typhus in Fujian Province, China.Parasites & vectors · 2023Article
- PredictingFrontiers in microbiology · 2023Article
- Machine learning to predict risk for community-onset Staphylococcus aureus infections in children living in southeastern United States.PloS one · 2023Article
- Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on Dengue Vector Densities in Southeast Asia through Process-Based Modeling.Environmental health perspectives · 2022Article
- Does COVID-19 lockdowns have impacted on global dengue burden? A special focus to India.BMC public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Both the number of cases of dengue fever and the areas of outbreaks within Nepal have increased significantly in recent years. Further expansion and range shift is expected in the future due to global climate change and other associated factors. However, due to limited spatially-explicit research in Nepal, there is poor understanding about the present spatial distribution patterns of dengue risk areas and the potential range shift due to future climate change. In this context, it is crucial to assess and map dengue fever risk areas in Nepal. Here, we used reported dengue cases and a set of bioclimatic variables on the MaxEnt ecological niche modeling approach to model the climatic niche and map present and future (2050s and 2070s) climatically suitable areas under different representative concentration pathways (RCP2.6, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5). Simulation-based estimates suggest that climatically suitable areas for dengue fever are presently distributed throughout the lowland Tarai from east to west and in river valleys at lower elevations. Under the different climate change scenarios, these areas will be slightly shifted towards higher elevation with varied magnitude and spatial patterns. Population exposed to climatically suitable areas of dengue fever in Nepal is anticipated to further increase in both 2050s and 2070s on all the assumed emission scenarios. These findings could be instrumental to plan and execute the strategic interventions for controlling dengue fever in Nepal.
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