Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29336306›Full record

ArticleeLife2018

MERS-CoV spillover at the camel-human interface.

Gytis Dudas, Luiz Max Carvalho, Andrew Rambaut, Trevor Bedford

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 165 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
165citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
32.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

165 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 274 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. MERS-COV in the Middle East, a one health concept approach.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025
    Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

105 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Gytis DudasVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0227-4158
Luiz Max CarvalhoInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Andrew RambautInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Trevor BedfordVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4039-5794
Fred Hutch Cancer Center · USNational Institutes of Health · USUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

Real-time tracking of virus evolution for vaccine strain selection and epidemiological investigationR35GM119774 · NIGMS · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI BEDFORD, TREVOR BC · 2016 to 2025
$4.1M
FHCRC High-Performance Computing ClusterS10OD020069 · OD · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI KOOPERBERG, CHARLES L · 2015 to 2015
$600k
European Commission 278433-PREDEMICSEuropean Commission 725422-RESERVOIRDOCSFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Mahan Postdoctoral FellowshipNIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM119774NIH HHS R35 GM119774-01NIH HHS S10 OD020069Pew Charitable Trusts Pew Biomedical ScholarWellcome 206298/Z/17/ZWellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) is a zoonotic virus from camels causing significant mortality and morbidity in humans in the Arabian Peninsula. The epidemiology of the virus remains poorly understood, and while case-based and seroepidemiological studies have been employed extensively throughout the epidemic, viral sequence data have not been utilised to their full potential. Here, we use existing MERS-CoV sequence data to explore its phylodynamics in two of its known major hosts, humans and camels. We employ structured coalescent models to show that long-term MERS-CoV evolution occurs exclusively in camels, whereas humans act as a transient, and ultimately terminal host. By analysing the distribution of human outbreak cluster sizes and zoonotic introduction times, we show that human outbreaks in the Arabian peninsula are driven by seasonally varying zoonotic transfer of viruses from camels. Without heretofore unseen evolution of host tropism, MERS-CoV is unlikely to become endemic in humans.

Indexed as

Disease Transmission, InfectiousGenetic VariationAnimalsCamelusCluster AnalysisCoronavirus InfectionsDisease OutbreaksHumansMiddle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronavirusMolecular EpidemiologyPhylogenySequence Analysis, DNAZoonosescoronavirusepidemiologyevolutionary biologygenomicsglobal healthMERSphylodynamicsphylogeneticsstructured coalescentviruszoonosis

Identifiers

PMID29336306
PMCPMC5777824
OpenAlexW2951351373

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.