Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29323268›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Evaluation of animal-to-human and human-to-human transmission of influenza A (H7N9) virus in China, 2013-15.

Victor Virlogeux, Luzhao Feng, Tim K Tsang, Hui Jiang, Vicky J Fang, Ying Qin, Peng Wu, Xiling Wang, Jiandong Zheng, Eric H Y Lau and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Victor VirlogeuxDepartment of Biology, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Lyon, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6282-0755
Luzhao FengDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Tim K TsangSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
Hui JiangDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Vicky J FangSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
Ying QinDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Peng WuSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
Xiling WangSchool of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Xuhui District, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Jiandong ZhengDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Eric H Y LauSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6688-9637
Zhibin PengDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Juan YangDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Benjamin J CowlingSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6297-7154
Hongjie YuSchool of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Xuhui District, Shanghai, 200032, China. cfetpyhj@vip.sina.com.
Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention · CNUniversity of Hong Kong · HKFudan University · CNÉcole Normale Supérieure de Lyon · FR

Funding

Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI BUCKEE, CAROLINE O'FLAHERTY · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
Virology &ImmunologyU19AI051915 · NIAID · NATIONAL CENTER FOR AIDS/STD CONTROL AND PREVENTION · PI GAO, GEORGE FU · 2002 to 2009
$21.6M
NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI051915NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A novel avian-origin influenza A(H7N9) virus emerged in China in March 2013 and by 27 September 2017 a total of 1533 laboratory-confirmed cases have been reported. Occurrences of animal-to-human and human-to-human transmission have been previously identified, and the force of human-to-human transmission is an important component of risk assessment. In this study, we constructed an ecological model to evaluate the animal-to-human and human-to-human transmission of H7N9 during the first three epidemic waves in spring 2013, winter/spring 2013-2014 and winter/spring 2014-2015 in China based on 149 laboratory-confirmed urban cases. Our analysis of patterns in incidence in major cities allowed us to estimate a mean incubation period in humans of 2.6 days (95% credibility interval, CrI: 1.4-3.1) and an effective reproduction number Re of 0.23 (95% CrI: 0.05-0.47) for the first wave, 0.16 (95% CrI: 0.01-0.41) for the second wave, and 0.16 (95% CrI: 0.01-0.45) for the third wave without a significant difference between waves. There was a significant decrease in the incidence of H7N9 cases after live poultry market closures in various major cities. Our analytic framework can be used for continued assessment of the risk of human to human transmission of A(H7N9) virus as human infections continue to occur in China.

Indexed as

AnimalsChinaDisease OutbreaksHumansInfectious Disease Incubation PeriodInfluenza A Virus, H7N9 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanInfluenza in BirdsPoultry

Identifiers

PMID29323268
PMCPMC5765021
OpenAlexW2781568200

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.