ArticleScientific reports2018
Predictions through evidence accumulation over time.
Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- From prediction to control: Age-related dissociations between implicit regularity encoding and attentional modulation during perception-action integration.Developmental cognitive neuroscience · 2026Article
- How the brain predicts timing: distinct network hubs for predicting and evaluating auditory sensory events.Frontiers in neuroscience · 2026Article
- Representationalism can connect neuroscience and philosophy.Frontiers in cognition · 2025Review
- Action-outcome delays modulate the temporal expansion of intended outcomes.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Behavioral and neural measures of confidence using a novel auditory pitch identification task.PloS one · 2024Article
- Intention affects fairness processing: Evidence from behavior and representational similarity analysis of event-related potential signals.Human brain mapping · 2023Article
- Article
- Intention-based and sensory-based predictions.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Neural Encoding of Auditory Statistics.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2021Article
- Predictive Modulation of Corticospinal Excitability and Implicit Encoding of Movement Probability in Schizophrenia.Schizophrenia bulletin · 2019Article
- "Hit the missing stimulus". A simultaneous EEG-fMRI study to localize the generators of endogenous ERPs in an omitted target paradigm.Scientific reports · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
It has been proposed that the brain specializes in predicting future states of the environment. These predictions are probabilistic, and must be continuously updated on the basis of their mismatch with actual evidence. Although electrophysiological data disclose neural activity patterns in relation to predictive processes, little is known about how this activity supports prediction build-up through evidence accumulation. Here we addressed this gap. Participants were required to make moment-by-moment predictions about stimuli presented in sequences in which gathering evidence from previous items as they were presented was either possible or not. Two event-related potentials (ERP), a frontocentral P2 and a central P3, were sensitive to information accumulation throughout the sequence. Time-frequency (TF) analyses revealed that prediction build-up process also modulated centrally distributed theta activity, and that alpha power was suppressed in anticipation to fully predictable stimuli. Results are in agreement with the notion of predictions as probability distributions and highlight the ability of observers to extract those probabilities in a changing environment and to adjust their predictions consequently.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.