Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29321860›Full record

ArticleEcology and evolution2018

Incorporating variability in simulations of seasonally forced phenology using integral projection models.

Devin W Goodsman, Brian H Aukema, Nate G McDowell, Richard S Middleton, Chonggang Xu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology and evolution, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Devin W GoodsmanEarth and Environmental Science Division Los Alamos National Laboratory Los Alamos NM USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1935-5779
Brian H AukemaDepartment of Entomology University of Minnesota St Paul MN USA.
Nate G McDowellPacific Northwest National Laboratory Richland WA USA.
Richard S MiddletonEarth and Environmental Science Division Los Alamos National Laboratory Los Alamos NM USA.
Chonggang XuEarth and Environmental Science Division Los Alamos National Laboratory Los Alamos NM USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Phenology models are becoming increasingly important tools to accurately predict how climate change will impact the life histories of organisms. We propose a class of integral projection phenology models derived from stochastic individual-based models of insect development and demography. Our derivation, which is based on the rate summation concept, produces integral projection models that capture the effect of phenotypic rate variability on insect phenology, but which are typically more computationally frugal than equivalent individual-based phenology models. We demonstrate our approach using a temperature-dependent model of the demography of the mountain pine beetle (

Indexed as

bark beetleindividual‐based modelinsectphenology model

Identifiers

PMID29321860
PMCPMC5756895

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.