Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29316935›Full record

ArticleHealth research policy and systems2018

Estimating the returns to United Kingdom publicly funded musculoskeletal disease research in terms of net value of improved health outcomes.

Matthew Glover, Erin Montague, Alexandra Pollitt, Susan Guthrie, Stephen Hanney, Martin Buxton, Jonathan Grant

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health research policy and systems, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. ESSKA consensus initiative: why, when and how?Journal of experimental orthopaedics · 2023
    Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Are UK and Ireland trauma and orthopaedic surgeons maintaining their research output?Annals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England · 2020
    Article
  16. Transforming the practice of medicine through team science.Health research policy and systems · 2020
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Matthew GloverHealth Economics Research Group, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, United Kingdom.
Erin MontaguePolicy Institute at King's, King's College London, Virginia Woolf Building, 22 Kingsway, London, WC2B 6LE, United Kingdom.
Alexandra PollittPolicy Institute at King's, King's College London, Virginia Woolf Building, 22 Kingsway, London, WC2B 6LE, United Kingdom.
Susan GuthrieRAND Europe, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Stephen HanneyHealth Economics Research Group, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, United Kingdom.
Martin BuxtonHealth Economics Research Group, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, United Kingdom.
Jonathan GrantPolicy Institute at King's, King's College London, Virginia Woolf Building, 22 Kingsway, London, WC2B 6LE, United Kingdom. jonathan.grant@kcl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1646-3486

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBuilding on an approach applied to cardiovascular and cancer research, we estimated the economic returns from United Kingdom public- and charitable-funded musculoskeletal disease (MSD) research that arise from the net value of the improved health outcomes in the United Kingdom.

methodsTo calculate the economic returns from MSD-related research in the United Kingdom, we estimated (1) the public and charitable expenditure on MSD-related research in the United Kingdom between 1970 and 2013; (2) the net monetary benefit (NMB), derived from the health benefit in quality adjusted life years (QALYs) valued in monetary terms (using a base-case value of a QALY of £25,000) minus the cost of delivering that benefit, for a prioritised list of interventions from 1994 to 2013; (3) the proportion of NMB attributable to United Kingdom research; and (4) the elapsed time between research funding and health gain. The data collected from these four key elements were used to estimate the internal rate of return (IRR) from MSD-related research investments on health benefits. We analysed the uncertainties in the IRR estimate using a one-way sensitivity analysis.

resultsExpressed in 2013 prices, total expenditure on MSD-related research from 1970 to 2013 was £3.5 billion, and for the period used to estimate the rate of return, 1978-1997, was £1.4 billion. Over the period 1994-2013 the key interventions analysed produced 871,000 QALYs with a NMB of £16 billion, allowing for the net NHS costs resulting from them and valuing a QALY at £25,000. The proportion of benefit attributable to United Kingdom research was 30% and the elapsed time between funding and impact of MSD treatments was 16 years. Our best estimate of the IRR from MSD-related research was 7%, which is similar to the 9% for CVD and 10% for cancer research.

conclusionsOur estimate of the IRR from the net health gain to public and charitable funding of MSD-related research in the United Kingdom is substantial, and justifies the research investments made between 1978 and 1997. We also demonstrated the applicability of the approach previously used in assessing the returns from cardiovascular and cancer research. Inevitably, with a study of this kind, there are a number of important assumptions and caveats that we highlight, and these can inform future research.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisFinancing, GovernmentQuality-Adjusted Life YearsBiomedical ResearchCharitiesHealth Care CostsHumansMusculoskeletal DiseasesState MedicineTranslational Research, BiomedicalTreatment OutcomeUnited KingdomElapsed timeMedical research charitiesMedical research investmentMusculoskeletal diseaseQALYsRate of returnResearch paybackValue of health

Identifiers

PMID29316935
PMCPMC5761203

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.