Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29310596›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2018

Different responses of weather factors on hand, foot and mouth disease in three different climate areas of Gansu, China.

Faxiang Gou, Xinfeng Liu, Jian He, Dongpeng Liu, Yao Cheng, Haixia Liu, Xiaoting Yang, Kongfu Wei, Yunhe Zheng, Xiaojuan Jiang and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Faxiang GouInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Xinfeng LiuInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Jian HeInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Dongpeng LiuInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Yao ChengInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Haixia LiuInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Xiaoting YangInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Kongfu WeiInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Yunhe ZhengInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Xiaojuan JiangInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Lei MengInstitute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China. ccdcusc101@163.com.
Wenbiao HuSchool of Public Health and Social Work, Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. w2.hu@qut.edu.au.

Funding

the major project of "Infectious Diseases Prevention and Control" of Science and Technology Monitoring Platform 2012ZX10004-208
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo determine the linear and non-linear interacting relationships between weather factors and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in children in Gansu, China, and gain further traction as an early warning signal based on weather variability for HFMD transmission.

methodWeekly HFMD cases aged less than 15 and meteorological information from 2010 to 2014 in Jiuquan, Lanzhou and Tianshu, Gansu, China were collected. Generalized linear regression models (GLM) with Poisson link and classification and regression trees (CART) were employed to determine the combined and interactive relationship of weather factors and HFMD in both linear and non-linear ways.

resultsGLM suggested an increase in weekly HFMD of 5.9% [95% confidence interval (CI): 5.4%, 6.5%] in Tianshui, 2.8% [2.5%, 3.1%] in Lanzhou and 1.8% [1.4%, 2.2%] in Jiuquan in association with a 1 °C increase in average temperature, respectively. And 1% increase of relative humidity could increase weekly HFMD of 2.47% [2.23%, 2.71%] in Lanzhou and 1.11% [0.72%, 1.51%] in Tianshui. CART revealed that average temperature and relative humidity were the first two important determinants, and their threshold values for average temperature deceased from 20 °C of Jiuquan to 16 °C in Tianshui; and for relative humidity, threshold values increased from 38% of Jiuquan to 65% of Tianshui.

conclusionAverage temperature was the primary weather factor in three areas, more sensitive in southeast Tianshui, compared with northwest Jiuquan; Relative humidity's effect on HFMD showed a non-linear interacting relationship with average temperature.

Indexed as

ChildChinaClimateHand, Foot and Mouth DiseaseHumansIncidenceLinear ModelsTemperatureWeatherClassification and regression treeClimate changeGeneralized linear modelHand, foot and mouth disease

Identifiers

PMID29310596
PMCPMC5759838

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.