Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29309721›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and health2017

The unrealized potential: cohort effects and age-period-cohort analysis.

Jongho Heo, Sun-Young Jeon, Chang-Mo Oh, Jongnam Hwang, Juhwan Oh, Youngtae Cho

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jongho HeoJW LEE Center for Global Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6405-3860
Sun-Young JeonCenter for Healthcare Policy and Research, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6708-1974
Chang-Mo OhDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-5709-9350
Jongnam HwangDepartment of Health Promotion, Daegu University, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-5897-628X
Juhwan OhJW LEE Center for Global Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-0784-5108
Youngtae ChoGraduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1641-282X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to provide a systematical introduction of age-period-cohort (APC) analysis to South Korean readers who are unfamiliar with this method (we provide an extended version of this study in Korean). As health data in South Korea has substantially accumulated, population-level studies that explore long-term trends of health status and health inequalities and identify macrosocial determinants of the trends are needed. Analyzing long-term trends requires to discern independent effects of age, period, and cohort using APC analysis. Most existing health and aging literature have used cross-sectional or short-term available panel data to identify age or period effects ignoring cohort effects. This under-use of APC analysis may be attributed to the identification (ID) problem caused by the perfect linear dependency across age, period, and cohort. This study explores recently developed three APC models to address the ID problem and adequately estimate the effects of A-P-C: intrinsic estimator-APC models for tabular age by period data; hierarchical cross-classified random effects models for repeated cross-sectional data; and hierarchical APC-growth curve models for accelerated longitudinal panel data. An analytic exemplar for each model was provided. APC analysis may contribute to identifying biological, historical, and socioeconomic determinants in long-term trends of health status and health inequalities as well as examining Korean's aging trajectories and temporal trends of period and cohort effects. For designing effective health policies that improve Korean population's health and reduce health inequalities, it is essential to understand independent effects of the three temporal factors by using the innovative APC models.

Indexed as

Cohort EffectCohort StudiesAdultAgedAge DistributionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRepublic of KoreaTime FactorsYoung AdultAge effectsBirth cohortCohort effectsIdentification problemPeriod effects

Identifiers

PMID29309721
PMCPMC5790985

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.