Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29302127›Full record

ArticleRemote sensing of environment2018

Census-independent population mapping in northern Nigeria.

Eric M Weber, Vincent Y Seaman, Robert N Stewart, Tomas J Bird, Andrew J Tatem, Jacob J McKee, Budhendra L Bhaduri, Jessica J Moehl, Andrew E Reith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Remote sensing of environment, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Advances in small area population estimation in the absence of national census data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Eric M WeberUrban Dynamics Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
Vincent Y SeamanBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.
Robert N StewartUrban Dynamics Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
Tomas J BirdWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, UK.
Andrew J TatemWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, UK.
Jacob J McKeeUrban Dynamics Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
Budhendra L BhaduriUrban Dynamics Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
Jessica J MoehlUrban Dynamics Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
Andrew E ReithUrban Dynamics Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although remote sensing has long been used to aid in the estimation of population, it has usually been in the context of spatial disaggregation of national census data, with the census counts serving both as observational data for specifying models and as constraints on model outputs. Here we present a framework for estimating populations from the bottom up, entirely independently of national census data, a critical need in areas without recent and reliable census data. To make observations of population density, we replace national census data with a microcensus, in which we enumerate population for a sample of small areas within the states of Kano and Kaduna in northern Nigeria. Using supervised texture-based classifiers with very high resolution satellite imagery, we produce a binary map of human settlement at 8-meter resolution across the two states and then a more refined classification consisting of 7 residential types and 1 non-residential type. Using the residential types and a model linking them to the population density observations, we produce population estimates across the two states in a gridded raster format, at approximately 90-meter resolution. We also demonstrate a simulation framework for capturing uncertainty and presenting estimates as prediction intervals for any region of interest of any size and composition within the study region. Used in concert with previously published demographic estimates, our population estimates allowed for predictions of the population under 5 in ten administrative wards that fit strongly with reference data collected during polio vaccination campaigns.

Indexed as

DemographicsNigeriaPolioPopulationSettlement mapping

Identifiers

PMID29302127
PMCPMC5738969

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.